Paramount/Skydance’s Mission: Impossible: Dead Reckoning – Part One is looking at $6M-$7M in previews so far, which is bound to be higher than the Thursday previews of the last Mission Impossible – Fallout back in 2018 which did $6M. Dead Reckoning previews began at 2PM today, however, I hear there were PLF fan screenings on Monday and that handful of bucks is accounted for in the estimate.
All eyes are on the best reviewed Mission: Impossible of all-time, Paramount/Skydance’s Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One to hopefully get us on a July roll starting Wednesday with an expected franchise global 5-day record of $250M; made up of $90M domestic, and $160M abroad in 70 markets including Australia, Brazil, China, France, Germany, Italy, Korea, Mexico Spain, Taiwan, and the United Kingdom.
WEDNESDAY PM: Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One‘s opening day is looking like $16 million, which includes the $7M in previews.
Yes, Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny and Mission: Impossible – Fallout both posted first days in the $22M-$23M range, but those were Fridays. This is about the long play of the movie, and Tom Cruise fare is back-loaded. The reason why this pic is going for the five-day record is due to its length, at 2 hours and 43 minutes. It’s expected, especially with a current great Rotten Tomatoes audience score of 94%, to get to $90M, a franchise record opening, by Sunday. Again, it’s still early. These numbers could go up.
THURSDAY AM: Paramount reported $15.5M for the Wednesday opening day of Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One, which includes previews. The studio isn’t reporting a 3 and 5-day projection as those type of forecasts can be wonky and it ultimately boils down to Friday business.
Rivals, however, are betting at this point in time that Dead Reckoning isn’t as big as the $90M tracking purported it to be. More like $47M for the 3-day and $70.5M per industry estimates right now. The worry here is if this is Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny all over again with a very expensive film near $300M production cost, long-running time and older dude skewing franchise falling short of expectations. There’s a chance on a five-day basis, this could still be a franchise record start: Mission: Impossible II has the best five-day opening for the Cruise series at $78.8M.
[My guess: Tu 7, W 9, Th 9, F 15, Sa 20+, Su 15, 5 day 75+]
FRIDAY AM: Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One saw $8.3M on Thursday, repping a 47% decline from Wednesday opening plus previews of $15.5M. Two day total is $23.8M. Hopefully this film spikes today.
I wouldn't count on it. I think the movie is (sadly) going to do terrible. Everyone is more excited for Barbie and Oppenheimer than Mission Impossible. Even the Facebook page to the movie theater in my town is doing more marketing for Barbie and Oppenheimer than marketing Mission Impossible. And this is new for the Facebook page/odd behavior. They didn't pull this crap for Evil Dead Rise, John Wick 4, Fast & Furious 10, Transformers, The Flash, The Little Mermaid, Indiana Jones, and so on. They gave all those movies the proper marketing/attention when it was their opening weekend or the final week build to their release dates AND they continued to market them for a week or two afterwards. Mission Impossible got like one or two posts, but the Facebook page has moved on to Barbie and Oppenheimer. Even the movie theater doesn't give a crap about what's currently playing (Mission Impossible). And all over the internet and social media I'm seeing "I'm saving my money for Barbie and Oppenheimer. F'k Mission Impossible (and Tom Cruise)." Mission Impossible is more than likely not going to do well, although when it comes to sequels, remakes, reboots, prequels, superhero movies, etc. (stuff people are tired of), Mission Impossible 7 is one that actually deserves the money. The way I felt after leaving Mission Impossible 7, I haven't felt since maybe The Batman. The last couple years I've been pretty hard to please. So Mission Impossible 7 did something right. Well, I did like Fast X, but I'm only going to add it to my top ten movies of 2023 if I don't have enough movies to make a complete top ten list. For now, it's an honorable mention. But yeah. I don't see Mission Impossible 7 doing well. It's all about Barbie and Oppenheimer.
Definitely planning on rewatching Mission: Impossible again, it deserves to become one of the highest grossing films of the year. Whether it will do or not I don’t know but it’s another brilliant piece of action thriller cinema from Christopher McQuarrie and Tom Cruise.
I must be the only one not that interested in Barbie or Oppenheimer. The Meg 2 looks like the kind of summer fun popcorn film I’m looking for.
They dropped global by $10m, but domestic by $14m?
UPDATE FRIDAY PM: As we told you, it’s all about global when it comes to the opening of Paramount/Skydance’s Tom Cruise sequel Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One and we hear a $240 million global start is being forecasted right now. Stateside, the 5-day is $76M after what is expected to be a $16M Friday and $52.2M 3-day at 4,327 theaters. Offshore opening will be $164M.
Understandable. There's lots of over emotional false information on this website. I'm sure that you are well aware of how feelings come before facts these days...
They are fun films. The second one is the weakest. They are more fun to me then the James bonds films and WAY better than the god awful last 4 Fast And Furious films..
I think that only the Sean Connery Bonds are better than MI 1-6. I remember when MI2 came out. I remember being puzzled why the critics were against it. Now that my tastes have changed, not even the Tom Cruise link can make a fan out of me, tbh.
If it comes in lower than expected based on the projections, I wonder if people are going to start looking at these close to 3 hour run-times, especially for movies that are just fun little popcorn events.
If anyone's interested, I reviewed the movie on my youtube channel. Appreciate any feedback. Trying to improve - https://youtu.be/xmCxvj2812U
Mission Impossible 7 wasn't 3 hours though. Remove end credits, the movie is about 2 hours 34 minutes. And there is nothing during or after the credits, so once the end credits start, you can leave or turn it off (in case someone is reading this when the movie releases on Blu-Ray and streaming). Also, the movie did not feel 2 hours 34 minutes. Felt 20-30 minutes shorter. The opening credits let you know you are about 30 minutes in since they don't happen until around 25-30 minutes into the movie.
It was still longer than Indy and the funny thing Indy got lambasted for its longer runtime when it didn't make its projected. Not one thing said about MI runtime till now .. 😂