Yeah it’s a simple hunting scenario used to illustrate risk. Imagine you out hunting birds in some non lethal way. You caught one already, and there are 2 in a bush. If you let go of the one you have to go after the other 2, they’re a 3 outcomes. You catch none of them. Which is a clear loss. You catch 1, which means breaking even, but it’s not the effort. Or you catch both. Basically 2 out of the 3 outcomes are non favorable, and the 1 that you want, is probably the least likely. So is it worth the risk, or is it better to stick with what you have.
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