MovieChat Forums > Donald Trump Discussion > My Prediction: Trump Wins

My Prediction: Trump Wins

posted 20 days ago by Phids (773)
31 replies | jump to latest

Based on polling data I have been seeing, I am predicting a Trump win. Around 80 million votes have already been cast, and during the past few weeks when early voting was open in states, Trump has been carrying a lot of momentum. Harris has been parading out a stream of celebrities to help her, but it might be too little, too late, and too irrelevant. Does Harris still have a chance to win? Well, of course - nothing is set in stone. However, I think that Trump has about an 80% chance of winning at this point.

[–] Bubbathegut (18049) 20 days ago

I sure hope you are right. The left is already spreading rumors that the election might be "hijacked." LOL!

[–] Switchstar (338) 20 days ago

Actually, Trump was claiming election fraud last week. It is a clear sign that he knows he's going to lose.

[–] NukeDude (795) 20 days ago

https://x.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1851672098303021060

[–] tvfan (12729) 20 days ago

Yup, there's already a list of shenanigans, chicanery and cheating for the current election by the Dems.

[–] Pellam33 (372) 20 days ago

We've already seen fraud as people have been arrested at the polls. The biggest problem Trump will have is that Harris is going to be in the exact same position Pence was in 2020, verifying the votes. She's already said they have a plan if Trump wins and this or their own Jan.6 (10 times worse than last) is it. Unless Trump wins by a landslide the Dems are ready.

[–] NorrinRad (5468) 20 days ago

[–] Pellam33 (330) 2 minutes ago
We've already seen fraud as people have been arrested at the polls.

Fantastic!! That would mean that the system works and voters should have faith that the proper safeguards are in place. 🗽 That also means someone FAAFO. If you don't know what that means just don't attempt any election fraud or Election Interference. 🤣

The biggest problem Trump will have is that Harris is going to be in the exact same position Pence was in 2020, verifying the votes.

Why would THAT be a problem? Joe Biden was the VP in 2016 and there was no issue then. 🤔🤔

She's already said they have a plan if Trump wins

Yes, follow the Constitution and the Rule of Law. You know something that the rest of Law Abiding Americans don't know?

and this or their own Jan.6 (10 times worse than last) is it.

You're looking for 10 times the number of Congressional Hearings to bring accountability to all of the Congressmen and Senators involved with Stop the Steal and the Coup? Gym Jordan your subpoena is calling. 🗽

Unless Trump wins by a landslide the Dems are ready.

Sigh.... We are just hours from the polls opening and DJT winning in a landslide is what you are dwelling on?

[–] KingBob (2110) 20 days ago

And the left is already claiming Russian Collusion.

[–] RipRoss (557) 20 days ago

Are you taking the Democrats cheating again into account?

[–] ColdBlood11 (169) 20 days ago

This poll from Aljezeera has Harris slightly ahead as of right now: I am using it because it is outside of the US hence is less likely to be biased in any way...
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/11/4/us-election-1-day-left-what-polls-say-what-harris-and-trump-are-up-to

[–] RipRoss (557) 20 days ago

Yes Al Jazeera is never biased in its coverage of other countries and would have no interest in promoting a candidate who is less pro-Israel than the other one.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Al_Jazeera_controversies_and_criticism

[–] ColdBlood11 (169) 20 days ago

Well I knew that you wouldn't trust anything that didn't tell you what you wanted to hear.. But hear is someone whom you should find more reputable:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K5A_UKLe5uo

[–] RipRoss (557) 20 days ago

I actually like Al Jazeera. Just wanted to point out they can be biased like other news sources.

I don’t know much about Allan Lichtman but agree that he does seem unbiased in his analysis.

[–] KingBob (2110) 20 days ago

Allan Lichtman is incredibly biased and he’s an election denier. He claimed the 2000 election was stolen and I saw him have a meltdown on camera when someone questioned his predictions. Maybe he’s right this time, I don’t know what to think but he is very much biased.

[–] RipRoss (557) 19 days ago

Wow. Well like I said I didn’t know much about him. Thanks for the info.

[–] RipRoss (557) 13 days ago

Lichtman has really been melting down since the election. You were so right about him.

[–] Phids (773) 20 days ago

In the RealClearPolitics polling averages, Trump is up by 0.3% currently in Pennsylvania, and has been ahead of Harris for pretty much all of the last 30 days. In order to win, Harris would need to win a lot of states in the rust belt that she is currently behind in.

Also, keep in mind that in 2020 and 2016, the polling leading up to the election tended to lean too far to the left, which means that Trump's support is likely stronger than the advance polls indicate.

[–] greentimemusic (1069) 20 days ago

Your prediction is ... WRONG!

[–] Phids (773) 18 days ago

It was right, but it wasn't really my own idea. It was based off polling data that came from Rasmussen Poll. The guy has a Youtube channel and he forecast it really accurately months ago. Basically, he recognized that many of the other polling outfits skewed to the left, and that Trump was polling well enough in enough key states to win the election.

[–] SamNoyoun (5828) 20 days ago

My prediction: Trump claims he won regardless of the actual outcome...

[–] BKB (9881) 20 days ago

I think Trump not only wins the Electoral College Vote, he wins the Popular Vote too

[–] NorrinRad (5468) 20 days ago

[–] BKB (9572) 5 minutes ago
I think Trump not only wins the Electoral College Vote, he wins the Popular Vote too

1. DJT has lost election after election since 2016. Why would this election be different?
2. An election is NOT a popularity contest based on polling, but DJT has never won the popular vote. 🗽👍

[–] db20db (17235) 20 days ago

"I must be the garbage man then."
"How do you like my garbage truck?"🤣

[–] Phids (773) 17 days ago

You were right.

[–] Melton (4439) 20 days ago

Of course Trump will win… for the third time in a row.

Only question is - can Dems successfully cheat again?

All depends on whether non-Dems on the ground have been able to prevent Dem cheating this time. We’ll know soon enough.

[–] TearofLys (2641) 20 days ago

Based on polling data, early returns, and an often overlooked Gallup poll that shows most Americans identify as Republican in 2024.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/651092/2024-election-environment-favorable-gop.aspx

This is a BIG DEAL, as most national pollsters use Gallup estimates as polling weights. However, they didn't implement the results of this most recent Gallup poll. If this Gallup poll is right, it means almost every national poll is underestimating Trump by a ridiculous margin and there will be a landslide for Trump tomorrow. Remember this post, and I told you so. Even with rampant fraud, no way this vapid psychopath becomes President-elect.

[–] BKB (9881) 20 days ago

Ok, how is Trump a vapid psychopath?? Please stop and think before you post

[–] TearofLys (2641) 20 days ago

I said Kamala is a bona-fide psychopath. I gave my reasons, citing the DSM-V and challenged anyone to refute me. No one did. I said Trump is a bit of a narcissist, which no one, can really deny. However, I also said that he is by far the best choice to lead this country out of the morass it finds itself in.

If I was unclear at some point, I apologize. For the record, I support Donald J. Trump 100%. I have gotten every non-voting relative I have to show up to the polls, just this one time, just so they can vote for, what is in my humble opinion, the savior of Western Civilization (yes, I believe that). If he falls, like dominoes, the rest of Europe will. Russia and North Korea will conquer what is left of Ukraine, and will make demands of Europe that they will have to acquiesce to as they have nothing to stop them. Russia/NK/China and every other BRICS nation will demand they bend the knee, or else, and they will.

[–] BKB (9881) 20 days ago

My apologies. I wasn't clear on your post and a shame you have to really force relatives to get out and vote

[–] TearofLys (2641) 20 days ago

I don't think of it as forcing. They all support Trump. I just remind them there is a difference between supporting Trump, and voting for him. Only the latter really matters.