Will it flop or are there too many indifferent people

Nope. It won't flop, but it won't be a big success as Force Awakens. Many people will watch it to close the trilogy, though. The next trilogy is gonna have it much harder, though.

It's going to be tough to tell from the box office, because there's no way to know how many seats Disney is buying to cook the numbers.

The real tell that the movie franchise has failed already is that the movies have been put on hiatus, and the merch isn't selling.

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No chance it will outright flop like Solo did, theres too many curious people that will want to see if its the trainwreck they hope it is.

Plenty of people were not going to see Captain Marvel, but, so they could moan about it, went to see it, so they could moan about it.

Solo wasn't a needed movie, Rise of Skywalker is closing a trilogy.

Plenty of people want to know if JJ can undo some of the damage of TLJ, but like that movie, Rise of Skywalker needs great word of mouth right out the gate, because if it performs like TLJ or even worse, it will damage the Star Wars brand.

After Rise of Skywalker, Kennedy is out. There is ZERO chance that Rise of Skywalker tops or gets anywhere close to Force Awakens.

But for the movie to outright flop, is a mathematical impossibility. I'm largely indifferent to the movie, but when a cheap showing is available, i'll go see it with my son, but the days of me watching a Star Wars movie at midnight are over.

Plenty of people like me, that will ensure that the movie makes a profit.

At this point, Rise of Skywalker will be considered a success if it bests The Last Jedis Box Office, if it does less......