Japan was cut off, isolated, starving, their fleet obliterated. they lsot all the territory they had held and had no way to counter attack, or launch any sort of offensive. THey would have surrendered eventually
the bombing was 100% political. to send a warning to the USSR, and to wrap it up quickly and nicely for american voters at home tired of the war.
vaporizing 100k civilians instantly and killing far more with the radiation afterwards to put japan on its knees, despite being horrible and committing war crimes , when it was ready to collapse shortly due to economic exhaustion anyways was a war crime in itself.
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