MovieChat Forums > Twisters (2024) Discussion > ‘Twisters’ Eyes $50M U.S. Opening

‘Twisters’ Eyes $50M U.S. Opening

posted 5 months ago by emori (3661)
11 replies | jump to latest

Twisters, the Glen Powell-Daisy Edgar Jones sequel to the 1996 action movie is looking at a $50M start, per tracking, when it opens July 19. Lower end of pic’s forecast is at $45M.

Like everything in the current marketplace, walk-up business and a heat wave are driving all forecasts higher than where tracking has been spotting figures, but this movie always was figured by distribution sources as one of summer’s wins. The question is, with all the tornado warnings going on this summer, will people want to watch havoc wreaked on the screen? Well, it didn’t stop them back in 1996, when the first movie, released by Warner Bros and directed by Jan de Bont opened to $41M and went on to make $241.7M domestic.
https://deadline.com/2024/06/twisters-box-office-projection-1235984755/

Budget is $200 million. So - a flop. Hollywood can stop pretending that Glen Powell is next big thing.

[–] e3e34ifj (1912) 5 months ago

"The question is, with all the tornado warnings going on this summer, will people want to watch havoc wreaked on the screen?"

This is a dumbass question. There are tornadoes every year, and so far there have been no major tornadoes this year like we've seen in the past. I live in Oklahoma, and it's the only place teeming with excitement for this movie simply because tornado culture is huge here.

But I agree that this film was probably never destined to do well. I can see it making good money if it gets very positive WOM before its release. But even anything below 80% on RT and I don't see it being a big hit. Either way, it never should've cost $200m, that's crazy. I wonder if it'll gross less than Twister did in 1996.

[–] redban (6164) 4 months ago

goodness sake, budget is $200 million? Why?

I clicked on this thread thinking $50 million opening might be good news ... why are these movies so expensive

[–] Porsche911 (3598) 4 months ago

I love how Tom Cruise was called in to promoting it!
I see $150 world wide.

[–] redban (6164) 4 months ago

I just checked. The original Twister drew $500 million in 1996, which is equivalent of about $1 billion in 2024.

So I guess their mathematics figured this movie would draw at least half of what the original 1996 movie drew (adjusted for inflation)

[–] eastangliauk (393) 4 months ago

our cinema is not showing Twisters on the big screen so disappointed and going to have to stream it.
I have never been to Colchester one and cannot get there
Clacton one mostly kids films but does have deadpool

Edit

Our cinema now got it over the weekend so going on Monday night

[–] Satan2016 (25525) 4 months ago

"Budget is $200 million. So - a flop. "

What a moron, ever heard of "international"? OW is $100M, so it will gross $300-400M.

[–] emori (3661) 4 months ago

Lots of naive people on this site still don't know how box-office works. They see those shiny WorldWide numbers and think they all go to studio pocket. It's not, honey.

HALF of it stays in the theaters of those countries outside USA. That's why studios always care only about domestic numbers where 100% goes to studio. Unless it's some 1 billion juggernaut.

And 200 millions is only pure budget. Plus they always spent like 100-150 millions on promotion when it's big budget movie. All those tv spots in all countries and posters on the streets don't appear there for free - studio pays.

So studio already payed like 300-350 millions on this movie. It needs to have like 700-800 millions worldwide numbers to get even. Or more.

With opening to 40-50 millions in USA and finishing with some 130-150 millions - it's a flop, honey. WorldWide numbers will not save it. As there are no audience and Glen Powell is not a star. Not in USA and even less outside of it.

[–] redban (6164) 4 months ago

I think it needs closer to $500 million to break-even. The general rule is to multiply the budget by 2.5. The 2.5 equation factors in marketing costs + international take-home pay. The movie has to do about as well as Bad Boys: Ride or Die did (maybe better), which is a tall order. The 1996 Twister took home $1 billion when adjusted for inflation. But that was 28 years ago

[–] Satan2016 (25525) 4 months ago

Still an idiot! Pulling numbers out your ass, ignoring streaming.

[–] MartyDeniro (4171) 4 months ago

That's why studios always care only about domestic numbers where 100% goes to studio.

Are you sure you're not one of those naive people on this site, honey?

[–] emori (3661) 4 months ago

What did you not understand?