Box office predictions


From the numbers so far I think the eventual numbers are likely:

Domestic: $290 mil
International: $240 mil

Total: $530 mil

Which makes it a box office success (3rd installment could be expected), but not a mega hit by today's standards.

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https://deadline.com/2022/06/top-gun-maverick-box-office-tom-cruise-record-1235038177/

‘Top Gun: Maverick’ Barrel-Rolling To $274M, Becoming Tom Cruise’s Top-Grossing Movie At Domestic Box Office

Time to answer your own question.

This movie has an opening number of $126,707,459, and YOU were predicting domestic box office of $290 mil.

What do YOU think? Were YOU being optimistic, or pessimistic?

Your "likely" final total prediction will be eclipsed in less than a week since you made it. And that's with about 78 days of theatrical release left to go. But you were right about one thing, "Numbers don't lie" -- so how come you didn't listen to them? How come you got miffed when people tried to make you see the obvious? And why pretend that the last guy was telling you something different from the rest? I guess you needed that to begin your crab walk to the other side, as if no one would notice? Your snide "unwilling to see" actually applied more accurately to YOU until an epiphany this morning.

edit: And remember that lag in international reporting I mentioned? Well, it just lurched up to 185mil.

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/releasegroup/gr1928614405/

And it hasn't even been released in "Cruise country," South Korea, yet.

"Korea, a huge Cruise market — and fortunately not one big on piracy — releases on June 23. The team will travel there ahead of release."

https://deadline.com/2022/05/top-gun-maverick-tom-cruise-opening-records-global-international-box-office-1235034560/

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https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/box-office-top-gun-tom-cruises-biggest-film-1235158714/

Box Office: ‘Top Gun 2’ Heads for Record $85M 2nd Weekend, Becomes Tom Cruise’s Biggest Film

Your "likely" 290mil grand total will be reached only 4 days after your prediction. Time to apologize to those you laughed off two days ago as "Unwilling to see" due to "American wish fulfillment." Or is that "beneath you" too? Everyone but YOU, the number blind, non-American, obviously anti-American pessimist, were on the right track.

I think that is more of that American wish fulfillment, maybe they can make a movie about that too.


I just could not get used to this American paranoia. Face it, this movie is more of an American wish fulfillment, which does not really appeal to people of other countries, at least not that much.


https://deadline.com/2022/06/top-gun-maverick-milestones-global-international-box-office-1235038053/

‘Top Gun: Maverick’ Cruising Over $200M Offshore Today; Buzzes Past Original Overseas

Numbers don't lie, but I guess a lot of you are unwilling to see it.


Not to toot my own horn, but I have a master's degree in IT


Like I said before the numbers don't lie

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https://deadline.com/2022/06/top-gun-maverick-box-office-tom-cruise-record-1235038177/

‘Top Gun: Maverick’ Barrel-Rolling To $290M, Becoming Tom Cruise’s Top-Grossing Movie At Domestic Box Office

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It's looking to grab 600-700 million.

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292/258 = 550 already
this prediction aged like the characters in shyamalan's Old

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Following is what I got from box office mojo: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2500036097/

Domestic (53%)
$230,604,011
International (47%)
$204,300,000
Worldwide
$434,904,011

Not sure where you got your information.

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all you have to do is scroll down a little bit on that link you've given to see that those totals don't include saturday or sunday numbers.

current projections are that it will be at 291m by the end of today.

https://deadline.com/2022/06/top-gun-maverick-box-office-tom-cruise-record-1235038177/

threads like this almost make me miss queensfan. he was a troll who at least put a bit of elbow grease into his posts.

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https://twitter.com/GiteshPandya/status/1533468829807955969

"Just look where #TopGun sits among biggest non-holiday 2nd wknds of ALL-TIME!

$147.4M #AvengersEndgame
$114.8M #AvengersInfinityWar
$111.7M #BlackPanther
$106.6M #JurassicWorld
$103.1M #Avengers
$90.4M #BeautyAndTheBeast
$86M #TopGunMaverick

All those hits ended at $500M+."

i'd still like to wait and see how it does next weekend when it loses a lot of premium screens to the dinosaurs, but i'm more convinced than not that $500m is the minimum final domestic gross.

i don't know about $1b worldwide, but i think it's a distinct possibility. especially when you consider korea isn't in the mix yet, and fallout made $50m there. this will likely do better.

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that site is always late now

https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2022/06/05/box-office-top-gun-maverick-drops-33-percent-tops-500-million-worldwide-becomes-biggest-domestc-tom-cruise-movie/

wait a few minutes and you'll see the news all over

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Then wait until it is time, stop wasting mine.

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person above already showed you. mad cuz you blew it? should I read to you

https://deadline.com/2022/06/top-gun-maverick-box-office-tom-cruise-record-1235038177/

Sunday AM writethru final after Saturday AM Update: Paramount/Skydance’s Top Gun: Maverick held throughout the week, and it’s holding at a brilliant steady in weekend 2. The sequel’s -32% ease is the best for a wide release that opened to $100M+, ahead of the -40% weekend 2 posted by Star Wars: The Force Awakens in December 2015 as well as 2004’s Shrek 2 (-33%).

Top Gun 2 clocked $86M, which will put it at $291.6M EOD today; easily the best Tom Cruise has ever seen at the domestic box office, and Skydance’s as well (beating Star Trek Into Darkness‘ $228.7M). The Joseph Kosinski-directed movie cashed in a second Friday at $25M, $5M ahead of where we saw it on Friday afternoon. The sequel’s global stands at $548.6M, and it will need to topple Mission: Impossible – Fallout ($791.6M) to become both Cruise and Skydance’s top grossing movie ever around the world.

dont quit the day job. b.o. forecasting isnt for you lol

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Does even one dollar of that money go into your pocket? How much a loser do you have to be? To be obsessed with something this trivial?

I am a rich man retired at a young age, I don't have a day job, so don't concern yourself with that.

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haha, you're the one obsessed enough to spell out a dumb prediction first and debate everyone over it. they were right. cant laugh and just admit u blew it? losers cant admit losing. rich man but too cheap to just buy a tik without 20 min pirate first, u thief

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Sorry, I don't like talking to people with obsessive behaviours, so that would be the end of this conversation for me.

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[deleted]

is it time yet? told ya they're always late, haha

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/releasegroup/gr1928614405/

https://images.app.goo.gl/VeQgd5nCr432RvoG9

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also apt:

'a wagging tongue bites itself.'

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https://www.boxofficemojo.com/releasegroup/gr1928614405/

549 and it hasn't even been released in "Cruise Country" yet.

Imagine if China had not punked out?

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Now it's looking like $1 Billion

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The actual came in even higher. Only 29% drop.

https://variety.com/2022/film/box-office/top-gun-maverick-box-office-second-weekend-beat-expectations-1235285735/

Holy Smokes! ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ Flies Higher Than Expected With $90 Million in Second Weekend

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