MovieChat Forums > The Fall Guy (2024) Discussion > ‘The Fall Guy’ Tripping To $28M Opening

‘The Fall Guy’ Tripping To $28M Opening

posted 10 months ago by Satan2016 (26234)
23 replies | jump to latest

https://deadline.com/2024/05/box-office-the-fall-guy-ryan-gosling-1235903586/

FRIDAY MIDDAY: Universal’s The Fall Guy is coming in a little light right now at $10.4M today, including previews, for what’s looking like a $28M opening at 4,002 theaters, below its $35M projection.

Many aren’t shocked: This is where action comedies open, and Fall Guy isn’t that far from the $30M starts of Paramount 2022 adventure rom-com The Lost City and David Leitch’s previous movie, 2022’s Bullet Train. But damn, was Fall Guy, for this concept, expensive at $130M after Australian tax credits. Some have heard the production cost was even higher at $150M.

Fall Guy already has $8.4M-plus in the bank from a 38-market rollout last weekend including Australia, Turkey, Netherlands and Spain. The movie goes into 40-plus markets this weekend including UK & Ireland, Germany, France and Mexico.

FRIDAY AM: Universal teed off summer Thursday night with the Ryan Gosling-Emily Blunt action comedy The Fall Guy, which made $3.15M from showtimes that began at 5 p.m. and Wednesday advance screenings. The movie is only expected to do around $35M for the weekend, maybe $40M. That’s not your typical start to summer, but we’re in this predicament due to the strikes’ delay on feature films.

[–] FilmBuff (7438) 10 months ago

Wow, in today's Hollywood that's the equivalent to a pre-Covid $300 million opening.

[–] TandyMan (11361) 10 months ago

This is what normal movies make. The MCU and Avatar are outliers. People have lost their minds.

[–] MavKilledGoose (876) 10 months ago

This is way more than what normal movies make (which is not even that much when counting all ancillary revenue), but this isn't a normal movie. It's a summer movie with an early May release date, and the studio is surely disappointed. No matter how you slice it, $28M is a soft opening for this type of product. The article does not compare it to Marvel or Avatar; it's being compared to The Lost City and Bullet Train.

[–] TandyMan (11361) 10 months ago

That's curious that it released early and not Memorial Day. You're right about that. Those are also two A lister leads.

[–] fc31 (6149) 10 months ago

Oscar nominations don't seem to mean as much as before.

[–] emori (3681) 10 months ago

Well that a flop with $125 millions budget

[–] fc31 (6149) 10 months ago

Yeah, I think basing on the opening, final box office is likely in the range of 160 ~ 180 million.

On a $125 million budget I'd say it is a flop.

[–] Satan2016 (26234) 10 months ago

SATURDAY AM: Universal’s The Fall Guy isn’t so strong, and nobody is really shocked.

While it was projected to do at least $30M, and it’s coming in at $28M, this is the range for original action comedies, even when they star Ryan Gosling. PostTrak exits report he’s 50% of the reason why people went to see the movie (versus 35% for Emily Blunt).

The opening for Fall Guy is actually on the higher end of Gosling starts, ranked third after anomaly Barbie ($162M) and Blade Runner 2049 ($32.7M), yet further down on Blunt’s. Why is Fall Guy playing like a deflated balloon, even with a great A- CinemaScore and 90% positive on PostTrak?

But in Fall Guy, despite how well it plays with audiences (SXSW crowds were belly laughing), there’s nothing that screams “rush to this,” despite Universal showing off the fun and the romance in its campaign. It’s too inside Hollywood, and these types of movies never play to an uber-wide crowd, despite how accessible the studio and filmmakers have tried to make it. “Why do young people want to see this movie?” challenges a film finance source.

[–] BKB (11354) 10 months ago

Perhaps this should've just went straight to Streaming?? 🤔

[–] Satan2016 (26234) 10 months ago

Why throw away $100m box office?

[–] BKB (11354) 10 months ago

I mean, this didn't exactly open well you know??

[–] Satan2016 (26234) 10 months ago

WW $68m!

[–] bozo_500 (13402) 10 months ago

Wow that is very low not to crack 100 ww

[–] emori (3681) 10 months ago

Don't look at WorldWide box-office. Studio gets like 50% of that.

Studio will put in pocket basically 28 at domestic + 20 overseas = 48 millions. On a 125 millions budget. Plus who knows how much they spent on promotion.

[–] Satan2016 (26234) 10 months ago

Made up Fake Facts!

[–] emori (3681) 10 months ago

You just don't know how box-office works.

It's always funny how naive people bring those WW numbers to prove their beloved movie didn't flop. It doesn't work like that. Overseas numbers good when it's like 300-600 millions.

When it's some 30-80 millions for a big budget movie - it's very little. Movie theaters outside USA leave like 50% of the grosses to themselves. In China it's 2/3. It's a well known fact. While in USA theaters give 100% back to studio.

So when you see that movie made 40 millions overseas - it means that only 20 millions will go back to USA.

[–] johnmiller (4012) 10 months ago

Not that, I would say. But, because people know that these movies will be streaming fairly soon, they weigh spending $20 a ticket, plus at least that in concessions versus paying $10 or so to rent the movie at home.

[–] BKB (11354) 10 months ago

When I read stuff like this, I feel it's only a matter of time before the movie theatre disappears in favor of everything having to go to Streaming and that's not good.. 🤔

[–] johnmiller (4012) 10 months ago

I am all for going to the theater if it is worth it. But, I very rarely see anything worth going to the theater for.

[–] Satan2016 (26234) 10 months ago

More bullshit! Will have an 8 week run like most major films.

[–] johnmiller (4012) 9 months ago

Nope. It is already available for streaming starting today at the two-week, four-day mark.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/timlammers/2024/05/20/the-fall-guy-to-make-fast-debut-on-digital-streaming/

[–] bozo_500 (13402) 10 months ago

28.5m = bomb

[–] BKB (11354) 10 months ago

I mean, it wasn't very exciting looking to begin with, hence why it made the low amount it did