MovieChat Forums > Joker: Folie à Deux (2024) Discussion > Joker might suffer huge 2nd week drop

Joker might suffer huge 2nd week drop

posted 2 months ago by redban (6164)
10 replies | jump to latest

https://www.indiewire.com/news/box-office/joker-disaster-could-set-box-office-record-for-second-weekend-drop-1235054958/

This article says the movie is heading for a total of $70 domestic and $200 worldwide

The reason is the movie won’t have legs, based on what we’ve seen so far. After $7 million on previews last Thursday, the studio downgraded their expectations to $40 mil (which was overestimating by $3 million). On Monday, the movie grossed about $1.8 million, and usually, movies on their first Monday gross about 8% their opening weekend gross, not 5%. Joker is likely to be 3rd this upcoming weekend behind Wild Robot and Terrifier

Worse case scenario, which isn’t impossible, is that Joker draws under $7.5 million to set a record low drop. More possible, the film draws about $11-12 million for a 70%-ish drop in its 2nd week

[–] DarthAckbar (2039) 2 months ago

70% wouldn't even be close to the record

156 films have dropped that much, or more

[–] redban (6164) 2 months ago

$11-12 million in this next weekend would be about 70% drop

If Joker draws a little under $7.5 million (unlikely but actually not impossible), they’d match or come near a record-low 80% drop

[–] DarthAckbar (2039) 2 months ago

not really, as 23 films have hit 80 or more

just curious, where are you getting that 7.5 number from?

[–] redban (6164) 2 months ago

It’s in the article in OP, which also says:

“For films that opened over $20 million, that record is currently held by “Friday the 13th,” which dropped 80 percent in 2009 ($40.6 million to $7.9 million) and “Halloween” in 2022 ($40.0 million to $8 million; it was also streaming on Peacock).”

[–] DarthAckbar (2039) 2 months ago

nah, i'm looking at the real list

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/chart/biggest_second_weekend_gross_drop/

[–] redban (6164) 2 months ago

A lot of the movies in that list didn’t get widespread theatrical releases , and when movies draw like 800k in its first week, a lot of theaters just stop playing them. I think that’s why the article made sense to qualify the record for “ films that opened over $20 million”

[–] DarthAckbar (2039) a month ago

👍

[–] bozo_500 (13100) a month ago

I could see this setting the record for 2nd wkend drop for a comic book film like an 80% drop (the current record holder is The Marvels with 78% drop - 46m to 10m)

[–] Creamofdacrop884 (1670) a month ago

Might? All the signs are pointing to this thing dropping off a cliff. I predict a 70% drop

[–] enriquesingh (1810) a month ago

Joker 2's performance reminds me of Ang Lee's Hulk back in 2003... which also fell off a cliff in its second weekend... I think Joker is going to be even worse though.