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Trying To Keep Tune With $45M-$50M Opening – Friday PM

posted 2 months ago by Satan2016 (25525)
6 replies | jump to latest

Makes $7M In Thursday Night Previews, Receives 36% Rotten Tomatoes Audience Score
https://deadline.com/2024/10/box-office-joker-folie-a-deux-1236107521/

Warner Bros’ Todd Phillips-directed sequel Joker: Folie à Deux earned $7M in previews that began at 3 p.m. Thursday. The number indicates that the $190M+ movie could get to a $50M opening, particularly when comped against movies that exceeded that threshold in their starts such as Mission: Impossible: Dead Reckoning – Part One ($7M last year), No Time to Die ($6.3M in 2021) and John Wick: Chapter 3: Parabellum ($5.9M in 2019).

Forget about the fact that Joker 2‘s previews are off by 47% from the first 2019 film’s $13.3M, which mushroomed to a $39.3M Friday and the biggest October domestic opening of all time with $96.2M. We knew that was going to happen.

While many knew this Joaquin Phoenix-Lady Gaga combo would be challenged due to the fact that it’s a musical, the fanboys full-out rejected the sequel last night on PostTrak with a 1/2 star and 40% positive. Holy guacamole, Batman. Did the Megalopolis cynics show up last night? Because that’s the same Thursday night grade (actually 45% positive) that the Francis Ford Coppola-directed $120M dystopian epic received a week ago before inching up to one star on PostTrak.

A very low 24% say they’ll definitely recommend Joker 2 to their friends. God knows what this means for the sequel’s stability throughout the weekend. RT audience score for Joker 2 also is in the gutter at 36%, with critical reviews plummeting from 62% fresh to 39% Rotten.

BTW, CinemaScore exits usually are more gentle than PostTrak, but God knows where that will be. Megalopolis received a D+ last weekend. Also, Joker 2‘s previews are $400K higher than the $6.6M The Marvels, which fell apart with a $46.1M opening last November — the lowest ever for a Marvel Studios Disney title.

[–] Creamofdacrop884 (1733) 2 months ago

It's Jover

[–] Satan2016 (25525) 2 months ago

FRIDAY PM: As of this minute, Todd Phillips’ audacious Joker: Folie à Deux is looking at an OK Friday of $20M, including last night’s $7M, and hoping to stay above $50M but could sink to $45M at 4,102 theaters. Numbers-wise, even though it was a PG-13 movie, this looks far too similar to The Marvels, which posted $6.6M previews, a $21.6M first day and disastrous 3-day of $46.1M. That movie actually was more expensive than Joker 2, $270M to $190M. The fear is that the bad word-of-mouth on this movie will make it increasingly frontloaded with a freefall on Saturday.

RelishMix noticed good social media metrics with the pic’s follower reach at 567.3M across TikTok, YouTube, X, Instagram and Facebook, which is 7% above superhero genre norms before opening. Lady Gaga’s fans across all platforms clocked 231.3M fans with 43.7M views feeding into her Instagram. However, the bad buzz post-Venice, where the movie clocked 62% fresh with critics on RT, seeped into presales, which were heard were not amazing ahead of opening.

[–] redban (6194) 2 months ago

I hope they get under $50 million

[–] redban (6194) 2 months ago

Deadline now says $47 million opening

[–] redban (6194) 2 months ago

Deadline update - some sources say $39 million, others say $40. So the figure is at least in that range. The film did worse domestically than expected, but they matched the overseas expectations by drawing $80 million

[–] Creamofdacrop884 (1733) 2 months ago

France apparently likes it