https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2021/11/17/matrix-resurrections-keanu-reeves-carrie-anne-moss-lana-box-office-2b-wachowski/
Bearing in mind its going to be also avaliable to stream at the same time, id say 50m opening. 150m domestic. 300m overseas = 450m (close to Matrix 1 and 3 unadjusted). Obviously would be higher if no streaming at same time
I don't see this making that much. The last 2 matrix movies were terrible, and the 2 brothers haven't made a good movie since the first matrix.
shareWhat would u say then? , im guessing closer to Blade Runner 2049, Terminator DF
share20 million opening weekend, then a steady decline after that. It's possible that the Asian market makes this profitable, since sci fi does very well there, but that's the 9nly way this doesn't bomb. I'm a HUGE fan of the first movie, and saw the sequels in the theater, but I'll probably wait for this to be streamed. This is coming from someone who sees 30+ movies a year in the theater.
sharePretty good prediction....if you mean opening week. The weekend was actually only 12m.
shareI'm thinking it will barely touch 550m.
share350M worldwide
shareIt doesn’t stand a chance at the box office. No Way Home comes out a week before it lol
shareSherlock Holmes still made over 500m when Avatar came out week before, as did the sequel which came out the same time as MI4, and Jumanji 2 was released couple of days after Last Jedi and still made 1b.
shareAvatar only opened to 70m and made it's box office over an entire year, so that's pretty irrelevant. 500m in a normal year is also not that much. The last Jedi dropped 70% in its second week, Jumanji 2 didn't make a billion and it wasn't released during a pandemic.
Those movies also benefited form having 3 full weeks playing over the holiday season. The matrix is opening after christmas, so it will only get 2 weeks. It's also not a typical Christmas movie(the original was R-rated).
Spiderman noway home is going to have a massive second weekend because: A) it is a Disney movie playing at chrismta, B) all of the casual moviergoers who don't know it has Toby and Andrew are going to go the second weekend.
Also The Matrix movie has ridiculously little hype. Partly because the trailer was so underwhelming, and partly just that people are not really hungry for a Matrix sequel, since the original 2 sequels were so forgettable. Why another one? Add in to the mix that Laurence Fishbourne and Hugo Weaving have been recast, make the whole thing a huge "meh".
Back in 2009 a movie doing 500m was considered a huge success . and Ok Jumanji 2 didnt make 1b but 962m which is like a billion in 2021. and Matrix may not be a traditional Christmas film but then neither was Star Wars until TFA
Anyway we'll see
I'll see both, as will a lot of other people. It will be a busy few weeks for the movie theaters. Get there early to buy your snacks, they will probably be understaffed.
shareIt'll flop. It looks like a rehash of the original. And covid is still around putting a damper on movie theater sales.
After a few weeks: $120m domestic; $200m international; $42m opening weekend
This is like the price is right : )
https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2021/12/23/wednesday-box-office-sing-2-tops-matrix-4-while-kings-man-bombs/
looks like it will open to 20m ow (32m from the wednesday) i guess thats sort of comparable to the recent instalments of other R rated scifi franchises Alien, Predator, Terminator, Blade Runner
Opening means Wed-Sun! Wed to Thu is only $10m, so Sun at most $40m. Lucky to gross $100m domestic.
share