https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2021/11/17/matrix-resurrections-keanu-reeves-carrie-anne-moss-lana-box-office-2b-wachowski/
Bearing in mind its going to be also avaliable to stream at the same time, id say 50m opening. 150m domestic. 300m overseas = 450m (close to Matrix 1 and 3 unadjusted). Obviously would be higher if no streaming at same time
Bombs in China (like blade runner 2049) https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2022/01/14/as-matrix-bombs-hollywood-can-no-longer-bank-on-chinese-box-office/
shareLana Wachowski’s The Matrix Resurrections will earn $1.08 million over the Fri-Mon holiday for a $36 million domestic cume. It bombed in China amid terrible word of mouth with a $7.5 million opening weekend, giving the $190 million sequel a $140 million global cume.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2022/01/16/movies-weekend-box-office-sing-matrix-encanto-venom-oscars/