MovieChat Forums > Gods and Generals (2003) Discussion > What if the Confederates won the Civil W...

What if the Confederates won the Civil War ?


QUESTIONS FOR EVERYONE:


1. How do you feel about the month of April possibly becoming "Confederate History Month" ?


2. If the Confederate Army defeated the Union Army and won the Civil War in 1865, How do you think the time line would be different today?


3. What are the major difference that you can think of if the Confederates won the Civil War ?


4. Should it be called Civil War History Month instead ?

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You might find this British 'documentary" interesting. Pay particular attention to the 'commercials', as they pitch real products. I have never seen this broadcast in the states and imagine it might raise quite a ruckus if it was.

'C.S.A.: The Confederate States of America'

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0389828/

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I think if more people read about the Reconstruction period they might understand the reality of the Civil War a little better.

And that CSA documentary was interesting, I've seen it before.

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1. I don't really care. I never celebrate those "_____ history" months anyway.

2. Like pro-secessionist abolitionists of the North thought, I believe that if the South was successful in seceding, slavery's back would have been broken. The North, then being a different country, would have absolutely no obligation to return runaway slaves as they did before. No longer seeming like a pointless gesture, slaves would have abandoned their masters in droves and run for the North. Combined with the growing realization that free labor is more profitable than slave labor, slaver wouldn't have lasted much longer at all.

Black-White relations in the South would have been better after the war, as White resentment of the Black race wouldn't have been heightened to the extent that it was after the disenfranchisement of nearly every Southern White male during reconstruction.

The South today would be an economic powerhouse rather than a largely impoverished region. The North, which was heavily subsidized by tariffs collected in the South, would have languished for a while after the loss of the tariff revenue. If Sherman and the Union army hadn't destroyed most of the Southern infrastructure, and if hundreds of thousands of able-bodied men on both sides hadn't been killed or dismembered, then both the North and (especially) the South would be FAR wealthier than they are today.

The Federal government would have had its power checked like never before. States' rights would have been taken seriously and we would have a more bottom-up than top-down political system in this country. "The American System", which Lincoln was trying to implement in the U.S., which is pretty much tax payer subsidization of corporations which will in turn pad the pockets of politicians, would have been stopped in its tracks and we might have had more of a free market today than an oligarchical corporatocracy. Some people speculate that the South may have come to rejoin the Union later on (indeed, many southerners thought that this was how it would play out), so the country might have had the same number of states by this time after all.

In short, I think things would have been better today if the South had won. I hate slavery and am glad that it is gone, but I think it was abolished in the worst way imaginable. As a wealth of quotes from Lincoln will attest, the Civil War was not about slavery (at least not at first and never as a primary goal). The term "Civil War" itself is inappropriate as Civil Wars usually describe struggles between two or more groups to dominate an entire country. Since the South wasn't trying to conquer the North, since it was merely trying to separate, to secede, then the "War of Southern Independence", whether you agree with their cause or not, is literally more accurate.

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We have enough months devoted to causes or segments of the population as it is. In fact we should get rid of the ones which already exist. Is you want a day in order to get off from work, that's different. I don't work, but I could do with the inevitable TNT Gettsyburg/GaG marathon.

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I could care less, but I don’t care enough to bother.

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1. I wouldn't have a problem with it although I think Civil War history month would be more appropriate. Seriously, most of these "observances" are just on paper anyway. It might help boost tourism though.

2. I don't think the south could have won in 1865. Had they won earlier I think there would have been a gradual reconciliation between the two countries. I don't think the CSA would have expanded the way some projected. Slavery was on it's way out economically; but it would have taken a while. I'm not sure the USA would have become a superpower quite as quickly.

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The South's last chance to win the war was at Gettysburg. After that was lost, the only way for a Union non-victory would have been if the Rebs could have bogged down Grant's army at Petersburg long enough to make a stalemate or a Confederate victory-by-default.

Picking a point of divergence in history that would give the South the edge can be speculated by various authors for the first 3 years of the war. Ward Moore, Mackinlay Kantor, Harry Turtledove, William Forstchen, and others are among those I hope to join when I present my own thesis at a time when you least expect it.

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AngstromStrongbeard

In short, I think things would have been better today if the South had won. I hate slavery and am glad that it is gone, but I think it was abolished in the worst way imaginable.
Well, may I remind you that neither Abraham Lincoln, nor the majority of Northern society that opposed slavery wanted to abolish it in a way it was abolished. It was economically suicidal to begin with, it raised religious and social concerns: would this army of black, ignorant, strange creatures rebel on a mass scale? And so on:

Why I say it raised religious concerns; although Darwin's theory was already known, IT WAS NOT ACCEPTED AND CONSIDERED A FRINGE.

These were not the times of Scientific Racism. These were the times of Religious Racism, if I may say so (I made that term up just now :)

All white people, in the North and especially in the South considered the differences between white and black communities to be DIVINELY ORDAINED. The argument "for" slavery in the South was religious, among others. To equal black people to white in ANY way: was to go against the will of God. We can barely imagine today the importance and depth of religious beliefs in the XIXth Century; in all discussions about the status of black people in society this argument is omitted.

In the slaveholding states the white society lived in extreme proximity to African community for centuries: no, they did not need "time" to "familiarise themselves" with Black people and finally reach a conclusion they are human, just like us. The proximity in which those two communities lived is unheard of for us now: black person would be sleeping IN YOUR ROOM every night, a maid would bathe you, dress you, drive you places, comfort you when you had night tremors, witness your most intimate moments and know most of your secrets. Black: by skin color or status - person could be your surrogate parent, your lover, your child, the object of your affection or hate. A black person would be in your house EVERY DAY. You would see black people much more often than your own family, also living in the same house.

And this would happen FOR GENERATIONS.

So no, the argument of "two communities not being accustomed to each other" is absolutely false: white society knew exactly how "human" or "human-like" if you will their slaves were: yet they chose to mistreat them the way the did regardless. Why?
Because it was God's will, on which "us" - the Southeners - built our society. Violence towards black people was not a "natural" thing of course: it was learned. People were socialised into it since childhood. Being violent towards black people, being able to "subject them" to ones will was a sign of masculinity or good housekeeping for women.

The real question is not how could good, Christian people inflict this dehumanising brutality onto others; the question is how could people do this, yet STILL perceive themselves as good and Christian.

Northern ideas were an attack on tradition, on family structure, on the ENTIRE fabric of society - but predominantly they were an attack on God's will. Violence and supremacy towards black people was something THAT WAS PREACHED IN CHURCHES. This is the reason why the South was absolutely opposed to ANY kind of compromise and threw everything on the line to preserve slavery. In their own eyes they were not only fighting for slavery: they were fighting to preserve an ideal society, the one God wanted people to live in (please not that Africans were not considered people).
There was an economic component to their decision: but as someone already pointed out, this economic, logical component DOES NOT EXPLAIN WHY ENTIRE SOUTHERN SOCIETY, NOT ONLY SLAVEHOLDERS JOINED THE SECESSION.

The decision to secede and fight was not only economical, it was ideological and religious as well, if not more.
As a wealth of quotes from Lincoln will attest, the Civil War was not about slavery (at least not at first and never as a primary goal).
This argument, really - makes me sigh. First of all to accept it as true one has to accept that ALL Civil War historians: those teaching in Colleges in Mississippi, Georgia, South Carolina and Alabama included - are part of some kind of conspiracy to SPEAK WITH ONE VOICE that the cause of the Civil War was indeed slavery.

One could claim with similar authority that upon graduation from ANY History Department one's body is invaded by mind-controlling aliens and you begin to spit out propaganda instead of informed opinion.

Can we just theoretically, for a minute assume that this MAY not be the case? That the army of historians are perhaps on to something?

Isn't it more plausible to agree that yes, the Confederacy LEFT THE UNION because of slavery: but the main motivation of Northern volunteers to join the War effort was not burning desire to end slavery: but TO SAVE THE UNION?

You see where I am going there? Those two statements are not mutually exclusive.

The South reached the conclusion that slavery was more important than the Union: the North reached the conclusion that the Union was more important than slavery.

The South's motivation to secede WAS INDEED slavery, the North's motivation not to let them WAS INDEED the Union. The North would not have pushed for immediate and definitive abolition of slavery HAD THE SOUTH NOT LEFT THE UNION.

Makes sense?

Don't explain with malice what you can explain with stupidity

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The South's last chance to win the war was at Gettysburg.


The only way the south would have had a chance of winning was with foreign support, preferably with military support from either Great Britain or France.

This would have followed the same strategy that the 13 colonies followed in the War of Independence: wear down British troops, prolong the war by all means possible and wait for foreign help.

In 1861, the south hoped for the same strategy, but it failed because of the issue of slavery.

The south handicapped itself from the beginning by the issue of slavery. Even though Great Britain would have loved to settle scores with the USA over previous wars, with GB being the preeminent anti=slavery nation in the world, there was simply no way the British government could be expected to aid the south without appearing staggeringly hypocritical, even more so than usual with governments. A British-south alliance/aid was just not in the books when slavery was the core issue in the south.

Many Americans think the civil war was decided on the battlefield, but lack of participation by European nations in the war determined the outcome as happened.

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[deleted]

Well, I assume, Obama probably wouldn't be president.

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The US would still have existed.

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He still would probably not be president. Change any detail of history, if you go far enough back, it will change anything.

Make one man delay for 5 minutes, he does not meet one woman, will not have children with her. After 20 generations tens of thousands of people that might have existed do not exist while tens of thousands of other people exist. The offspring of the original "time changer" interact with millions of people in a way that differs. Thinks like "I would have turned my tax declaration in today, now I am a little late, I will do it tomorrow" causing more small time shifts.

Change one minor thing like the mentioned 5min delay and after 1000 years the world might look completely different and noone alive today would be alive in the alternate line.

This is the problem with alternate scenarios. They always assume, that if you change one thing it will effect only this in the future. But no, it changes everything. And here you are not talking about some small delay, you are talking about the outcome of an entire war. Other people dead on the battlefield = other people left over to couple mate and give birth = other people living today.

Mr. Obamas parents... might they have lived? maybe, maybe not. would they have met? maybe, maybe not. Would they have had sex exactly the same day they had to conceive him? For if not, on of the millions of other sperms of his father would have made it and he would have become another person.

Talking about alternative timeline persons, the question is not about the political entities like the USA in total, it is about the persons living in it. ... get the point?

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Seems likely there would be no United States or Confederate States.

The successful precedent of succession as a solution to conflict would have spread, both north & south. The south, in fact, was never as unified as latter day perception suggests. With states' rights pre-eminent there was little reason for one state to sacrifice anything for the benefit of another or the whole. Some governors withheld supplies, resources and men from the CSA even prior to the surrender in order to benefit their own bailiwick.

I think Sherman predicted it best: a successful secession would lead to the US becoming like Mexico, a series of warring states, counties, etc., permanently Balkanized, with local leaders, despots grappling for power.

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