Is it logical that Biden will win?
Basically anyone who voted Hilary last time will vote Biden.
Only 50,000 or so swing voters spread across various states gave Trump the EC.
Early voting seems to indicate eagerness to vote Trump out. So we can say 70% of them are for Biden.
The protest vote against Hilary is gone. So that's going to cut into that swing .
The big question mark is covid, the lockdown, BLM and law and order.
The "silent" voters might come out and state what they're afraid to do to a polster.
If that's an component, Trump might get over the line.