Good post, CK. That's kind of what I was getting at earlier. A person CAN win at blackjack by playing with basic strategy, card counting or by their "gut".
However, the odds favor players who are consistent and are in it for the long haul. The most I've dealt to a single player was $10K. There is no rushing those type of players and occasionally they do go against grain. For example, once I had a face card up and the dealer had an ace/9, for 20. He asked for a hit. I said are you sure and he said yes. He got an ace for 21 and I turned a 20. When you see great play like that, you are impressed.
On the other hand, splitting 10's, busting when the dealer has a 6 showing and other bonehead plays show you don't know what you are doing. Especially when you're on 3rd base and can screw your fellow players and the dealer's tips. A dealer can generally tell in about 6 hands if you know what you are doing.
And the chance of someone winning eight straight hand is around 100 to 1. Not impossible but not an everyday occurrence. Doing so adding the pressure of up to $200,000.00 is off the chart for everyday people.
I can say there was nothing more enjoyable that having a table full of friendly people, playing reasonably and having fun. Remember, you are not playing the dealer, you are playing the house. If you win, the dealer gets tipped and everyone but the bosses are happy.
But some folks just want to argue. They see Hollywood and think that could happen to them. Fine, that's what Vegas wants. But don't think it's likely to. I chalk it up to millennials thinking they know it all. Boy are they in for a shock.
Like the guy said, " I came to Vegas in a $40,000.00 car and left on a $200,000.00 bus".
"Guys with neck tattoos are seldom strategic thinkers." John Wells
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