Already $1.9 billion
Should easily at 2.2 by the end of Sunday , Avatar record is in sight.
https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-estimates-avengers-endgame-intruder-long-shot-uglydolls/
absolutely Incredible!
but I must say...with these projections
I think we can finally see where EG is going to finish
first let me say, surprising EG is Holding extremely well despite opening to such a Massive Opening Weekend number....we really had no clue what to expect with EGs opening that Huge and Surprising EG is Holding just like Normal blockbusters and Avengers films...
but...
with these projections , I think EGs total domestic gross will finish around 875 M+
and World Wide total Is Heading for a 2.6 Billion+ total
for me, I think EG is gonna fall just short of Avatar's WW total and TFAs domestic total
now, I'm not guaranteeing it...The Math is certainly still there for EG to match or exceed them....It wouldnt actually need HUGE completely unreasonable Holds...EG would just need to perform slightly better than Captain Marvel....certainly at least doable
but for me, I think its unlikely Given the competition EG will now face going forward
EGs release date now becomes really the ONLY Thing keeping it from Topping Avatar and TFAs
Had EG been released in December or in February like Black Panther and had 2 Months of no competition...I absolutely think it could break both records...
But EG is going to be going against some of the biggest movies of the year over the next 2 months...
IMO Its gonna to fall slightly short...
EG is going to astonishingly make 875 M + domestically and for me, that may be The single most impressive box office stat in History!
I never thought I'd ever see a film top 750 M+ domestically that was NOT released in December, I thought a December release date was a MUST for a 750M + domestic gross
EG is gonna finish over 2.6 B+ WW and It wouldnt surprise me be if it crawled over 2.7 B or got very close...
overall...Its too soon to 100% sure say both records are out of reach...but I think with this weekends projections, were getting a very good idea where EG will finish
and Its going to finish in Just Astonishing box office
With its 59.2% drop I'm still thinking it will end in that $2.4billion range.
shareit will be at $2.19b after this weekend.
it will likely make another $200m at least in the north american market. and i think that is a very pessimistic projection. it's hard to say, since we may be in a case where everyone who wants to see it has seen it, and everyone who wants to see it twice has seen in twice. but there is still at least some revenue on the table.
infinity war made 1/3 of its total domestic gross after its second weekend.
if endgame does the same, then it will make another $300 million in the us/canada alone.
it probably won't make quite that much, but that's likely the optimistic projection.
and i think it's got at least another $250 to come internationally.
i think those are minimum amounts.
so i'd say $2.6b is the floor for final ww grosses, & i think it will likely do quite a bit more than that.
Perhaps but Endgame's early success is spoiler driven. People learned from having Infinity War spoiled that they need to see this early.
sharei agree to some extent.
i won't be surprised if endgame doesn't replicate infinity war's earnings pattern. while infinity war made 1/3 of its domestic box office after its second weekend, eg may make less. but it will make some. i think $200m is the bare minimum it can expect to make in north america after this weekend.
that alone will put it just under $2.4 billion.
it will surely make at least that much internationally. it had normal blockbuster holds both domestically & internationally, and that tells us that it will probably run out the way other films of this type do.
i don't know if it will pass avatar. if i were to guess, i'd say yes.
but i would put quite a lot of money on it making more than $2.4b. it would effectively have to collapse to end up there, and it's showing no signs of doing that.
There is no way it is making less than 2.6b. To finish under 2.6b it would have to have 65% drops every week. 55% drops and it beats Avatar.
shareThere is no way it is making less than 2.6b. To finish under 2.6b it would have to have 65% drops every week. 55% drops and it beats Avatar.
^^^
Avatar's basically a done deal from everything I'm reading....
It will be at around 2.6 Billion by next Monday
and from there the question really becomes not does it top Avatar, but how close to 3 B does it get....
new forecast
875 M domestic
2.8 B +
It's not a done deal, it looks to be headed for about 2.8b. Another 250m domestic is all but guaranteed. Infinity war made 225m after its second weekend. I'm not sure about the foreign BO though. Should do another 350m I think.
shareI'm not saying Its done Deal....
I'm just noting thats what Box office analysts are saying....
from what I've read, They seem to be 100% sure EG is now going to top Avatar...
as for me, I now believe it Will....but I'm not 100%...
Based on The math I've done, I have EG coming out over 2.8 B....
but for me the one thing that makes me at least acknowledge Its NOT Guaranteed is the competition...
EG is going to face a lot oh Huge movies over the next months, I'm im certainly aware Its possible that could cause EG to come up short...
again, My new prediction is 2.8 B+....but as you said, I too am not as confident as Box office analysts and wont say its a done deal
which box office analysts?
share
Gitesh Pandya of box offie guru...
@GiteshPandya
12h12 hours ago
What is the global #boxoffice trajectory for #AvengersEndgame? It may end the week at roughly $2.36B thru THU, then rise to around $2.57B after 3rd wknd. On or about MAY 20th is when #Endgame will surpass #Avatar's all-time $2.78B record. Final right near $3B is likely.
Shawn Robbins of box office theory.....
@ShawnRobbinsWho
12h12 hours ago
We're in the Endgame now -- #AvengersEndgame has only movie left to overtake on the all-time global box office chart. When will it crack Avatar's $2.8 billion?
and boxoffice.com......
Exhibitor Relations Co.
@ERCboxoffice
12h12 hours ago
Disney: King of the Box Office World. With $2.188B, AVENGERS: ENDGAME passed AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR ($2.048B), STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS ($2.068B) and TITANIC ($2.187B) to become the #2 film of all-time worldwide. Next stop: AVATAR ($2.788B).
I agree , there's no way it will only make another 200 mil. In its total run , maybe it won't top Avatar but it will be very close , i'd it will finish around 2.65-2.7 billion
shareWith its 59.2% drop I'm still thinking it will end in that $2.4billion range.
^^^
lol Oh man, I hope this was simply trolling because if not, you should never talk box office again....
Actually from what I'm reading, Its pretty much a done deal.....
EG WILL top Avatar....
Here are tweets from Professional box office analysts-
--------------------------------------------------------------
Gitesh Pandya
@GiteshPandya
8h8 hours ago
What is the global #boxoffice trajectory for #AvengersEndgame? It may end the week at roughly $2.36B thru THU, then rise to around $2.57B after 3rd wknd. On or about MAY 20th is when #Endgame will surpass #Avatar's all-time $2.78B record. Final right near $3B is likely.
--------------------------------------------------------------
Exhibitor Relations Co.
@ERCboxoffice
9h9 hours ago
Disney: King of the Box Office World. With $2.188B, AVENGERS: ENDGAME passed AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR ($2.048B), STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS ($2.068B) and TITANIC ($2.187B) to become the #2 film of all-time worldwide. Next stop: AVATAR ($2.788B).
--------------------------------------------------------------
hawn Robbins
@ShawnRobbinsWho
9h9 hours ago
We're in the Endgame now -- #AvengersEndgame has only movie left to overtake on the all-time global box office chart. When will it crack Avatar's $2.8 billion?
PS....I'm being serious, If you truly thought 2.4 B was really where EG was going to finish
......WOW!
Well I don't follow the numbers as closely because I have a life, lol. But I do remember my conversation last weekend when I tried to tell you it wouldn't hold as strongly as Infinity War. You absolutely wouldn't have it. You said there was nothing to base it on. And I said it was because Infinity War was the catalyst that made everyone aware that they should see this movie early. You said no no no because Infinity War did this and that. I had to drill it in your head that people learned AFTER Infinity War was spoiled for a lot of people that they need to see THIS early. But instead of replying to acknowledge you understand what I wrote you just left back to your basement.
Here's the link:
https://moviechat.org/tt4154796/Avengers-Endgame/5cc49f6620efa604d42a3b1a/UPDATE-List-Of-box-Office-Records-broken-so-far-from-Endgame350-Million-OW-record?reply=5cc60e683b3a97298011d93a
The biggest idiot on the planet could've understood what I was talking about. But billbrown just didn't have the brain power.
And now that Endgame has a higher dropoff than Infinity War - just I like said it would - here you're saying I shouldn't make predictions.
You don't even make predictions billbrown. You just read what other people figure out and post it. And if it doesn't pan out you head to your basement.
please go back a re read that post....
I 100% acknowledged EG could absolutely NOT have holds as good as IW....
I just said there was nothing to base that on....
Based on EGs excellent reviews,WOM and audiences scores....that would suggest Great holds....but I then noted, Given EGs Massive OW number, NO ONE could possibley say how the film would perform, There was nothing to compare it to....
I was 1000% objecting to your thoughts/opinion that Is was LIKELY or a STRONG Possibility EG would have weaker holds than IW
but In No way saying That It was Impossible...
My entire argument was ONLY about, I disagree with you that AT THAT POINT any data showed or indicated it would have weaker holds...
I would have 100% for sure Predicted EG to have Better holds than IW based on Its WOM,Reviews and scores....
But I didnt, and I didnt because, I knew there there was no way to tell if any of that would matter when it came to EG....
You were talking like It was a forgone conclusion That EG would come in weaker than IW...
My disagreement was, there was nothing that would point to that....
I then noted all facts and point to EG having great holds....But then Immediately acknowledged, but that Means nothing theres no way anyone could possibly no where EG is headed...
I'm not trying to be mean...but you completely didnt understand what was said it the post.
You caught so caught up in if you were right or not....You completely missed what I was actually Objecting to and there was never actually going to be YOU were right or wrong....
I couldnt have been right or wrong either...
the whole Point was EGs holds were Unknowable or Projectable ....
neither one of us could say or point to any data that would accurately project where EG would fall....
Yet you were talking like You Knew for sure....Thats all I was disagreeing with...
I had no clue where EG would fall, If I had to Make a prediction, all I could do was look at the data and EGs reviews,WOM ans scores were great....which Usual meant Great Holds....
But we couldnt apply those same rules to EG so I had no Clue
You on the other hand, were definitively predicting Weaker HOLDS....I felt that was Unknowable at that time....
I completely acknowledged EG could absolutely have Weaker Holds....but There was nothing to base that on....
just go back a re read it...maybe you might fully understand it this time
You are such a fraud. You even agreed with me a week before the movie opened when I said $2.4 billion. Now you're throwing insults that I should never make predictions after you looked at someone else's numbers.
Having weaker holds wasn't unknowable. It was flying in your face ESPECIALLY as I was explaining to you why and how that weaker hold was accomplished. Because of people wanting to avoid spoilers. Now you're saying it was unknowable?
No. You're just stupid. Thats all there is to it billbrown. Just like a couple years ago when you were predicting Conor McGregor would defend both belts when everyone on the Ultimate Fighter board was screaming at you he would retire. You can't see things right in front of you. All you can do is wait until after the fact and repost something someone else said and pretend it was you saying it.
i just deleted a post because it said some of the same things bb said, & i really don't need to get into the middle of this, but your insistence that endgame's opening and 'weaker' hold don't really hold up to any kind of scrutiny.
if endgame's $100m higher opening weekend was just due to spoiler evasion, then eg's drop-off would be abnormally huge.
it's not. it's a bit higher than iw's but not that much higher. it's basically behaving the way every summer blockbuster behaves, & it will probably continue to do so.
endgame is making more money than iw everywhere. the audience has grown. last year's event movie has become this year's even bigger event movie. more people are going to see it everywhere.
if it was just the case that iw's audience was coming out earlier, then eg would make roughly the same amount of money overall. it would have dropped off a cliff its 2nd week. it's not.
its audience is bigger. more people are going to see it. it's going to make at least 1/2 a billion more than iw. probably more than that.
that is not just fanboys avoiding spoilers.
I didn't say Endgame's higher opening weekend was entirely due to spoiler evasion. In fact there would be no way to articulate that I did considering I predicted a $2.4billion box office compared to Infinity War's $2 billion.
But I did argue that was the largest factor for its monstrous opening.
The two things I said were that Endgame will have a higher box office than Infinity War but Infinity War will consistently beat it in weekend holds by a slight margin.
When I told that to billbrown he flipped a gasket and said there was no basis for it.
My overall problem with billbrown is him going the dick route saying I shouldn't make predictions when he originally agreed with what I wrote.
You can dickride him all you like but he really is an intellectually questionable person.
well, i'm not going to go back and forth on this.
i'm not dickriding anyone.
the facts are the facts.
you are firmly sticking to a belief that you can't really know is true - that eg had the biggest opening mainly because people wanted to avoid spoilers. you don't know that. and the facts show that this really just isn't the case. it's probably going to make at least $150m more than iw in north america alone. that is not just spoiler avoiding punters.
just curious: you said that it would end up at 2.4b earlier today. do you stand by that?
You are such a fraud. You even agreed with me a week before the movie opened when I said $2.4 billion. Now you're throwing insults that I should never make predictions after you looked at someone else's numbers.
^^^
I'm not trying to insult you...
You are just completely not understanding what was said...
The reason I agreed with you before EG opened was because, IT HAD NOT Opened yet...
for me and the rest of the world, a 357 M OW wasnt even A DREAM
I absolutely thought 2.4 B was a great Projection based on the tracking and presales assuming EG could open between 260 to 300 M
The second EG opened to 357 M...at that Point, Forecast became truly Unknowable ....To even pretend we had any idea how a film would preform with an opening that HUGE is nothing but a guess
Having weaker holds wasn't unknowable. It was flying in your face ESPECIALLY as I was explaining to you why and how that weaker hold was accomplished. Because of people wanting to avoid spoilers. Now you're saying it was unknowable?
^^^
I'm sorry, Your just not right here....and Neither am I
You are completely caught up in trying to proves you are right...
You correctly GUESSED at EG having weaker than IW holds....
There was NOTHING though that YOU could have based that Prediction on...
at the time you made that GUESS, All data and facts pointed to Great HOLDS, But as I said, we couldnt apply those rules to EG....
NO One could point to anything that could accurately project EG holds....
If you want, I'm more than happy to admit You completely Made a BETTER GUESS than me...
but I never at any point, Made a prediction what was going to happen...I truly didnt know....
My only disagreement with you was, WE couldnt know what EGs hold would be, Yet you were trying to say There was Proof or data proving EG was going to have weaker holds.....
There wasnt.
No. You're just stupid. Thats all there is to it billbrown. Just like a couple years ago when you were predicting Conor McGregor would defend both belts when everyone on the Ultimate Fighter board was screaming at you he would retire. You can't see things right in front of you. All you can do is wait until after the fact and repost something someone else said and pretend it was you saying it.
^^^
ok this post completely shows where this is headed, now your the one INSULTING me..
and now your bringing up past comments because I think You clearly re read the post and now understand you dont have a leg to stand on with this post...
I dont remember at all The comments you are talking about, I remember talking about Conor back then...but not specifics, I'm not denying it, I just dont remember it well enough to discuss it...
but I can go as far as admit, Everything I thought I knew about Conor got drastically altered....
I never in a million years could have seen what Ultimately Became of him....He literally became a different person after the Mayweather fight...
In fact I cant think Of another person or situation changing so drastically, Than He did after that fight...
He's not the same person or fighter...Pre-Mayweather, Pre-HUNDREDS of millions....Conor was one of my all time favorite fighters and Persons....
that person is not even remotely there anymore...from his personality to his Fighting Style....
The 3 years Run of Conor from from UFC 178 to UFC 205....was amazing....that guy doesnt exist anymore and I can truly say I couldnt have never imagined how HE Changed...
I would have much rather He simply ran into fighters he couldnt beat Or Just PEAKED...Than ultimately what happened...He Completely changed as a Human and Fighter and That I never saw coming
If can could pull up my actual quotes from that time your talking about, that would be great, I truly dont remember what your talking about well enough to really defend,admit I was wrong or discuss it
In that conversation you did the standard "it could be this or it could be that." You agreed with my prediction while saying Avatar's box office was in reach. Its the same old song and dance people do to avoid being wrong. I don't play it that way. I make a prediction and stick to it.
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