This movie will win the following Oscars:
Best Actor
Best Director
Best Cinematography
Best Supporting Actor
shareMichael Keaton will win Best Supporting Actor. Academy will make it up to him after last year.
MovieChat Forums > The Revenant (2016) Discussion > This movie will win the following Oscars...
If Birdman didn't win last year I might agree, but the oscars usually don't double dip with directors like that, it's like Hurt Locker and Zero Dark Thirty, ZDT probably would have won best picture if HL didn't win.
I think best actor and supporting actor are highly possibly, the cinematography could win too, but I think director is probably going to go to Todd Haynes for Carol or McCarthy for Spotlight, one of those movies will probably win best picture.
Or Joy could win it all, David O. Russell has been nominated a lot recently, if it get's great reviews, he might get it just because he is due.
Seeing as ZDT only won one Oscar and that was due to a Tie I highly doubt it would have Won Best Picture
Life of Pi, Les Miserables and Django had higher chances of winning
Alejandro has a high chance of Winning due to the other Oscar movies being from paint by the numbers
The Revanant seems to be the only Oscar that has a unique feel to it. The Academy tend to reward the Director who is the most innovative like Ang Lee, Alfonso and Alejandro
No they didn't, Zero Dark Thirty was the best reviewed film of that year, it had 95 on metacritic and was more acclaimed than all those movies, my point was the oscars don't usually double dip and it's true.
They gave Hurt Locker a bunch of awards the year before, so there was no way ZDT was going to win after HL already dominated before, in the last 30 years or so of the oscars, only two directors have won twice within close range of a previous win.
They usually wait 5 years or more to reward someone again, the oscars are political and not always about quality, this is why Pacino didn't win when he deserved it for Godfather part 2, but got a handout oscar for Sent of a Woman.
Hell outside of the Godfather Part 1 and 2, I can't think of many other filmmakers who had two films win best picture within a couple of years of each other, usually it's someone different every single year.
I'm just going off the stats here, the Academy almost never rewards a filmmaker more than once anymore, it's kind of like how Apocalypse Now didn't win best picture or director in 79 and lost to Kramer vs Kramer.
Now I'm not saying he can't win, he totally could, but even if he deserves it, that doesn't mean he will win it, plenty of paint by the numbers films have won best picture and director, kind of like Kings Speech.
What you're saying is totally true, but the reason Zero Dark Thirty didn't win and perhaps wouldn't have won even if The Hurt Locker hadn't previously won is because of the backlash and smear campaign against the film by those claiming it advocated torture, and by extension, that the US government advocated torture as a means to get results. That is why it only came away with one award, and why Bigelow failed to get a nomination. That was an unfortunate fact at the time that you can find in every article relating to the film's numerous snubs, including Jessica Chastain losing to Jennifer Lawrence, a race that many felt would have been closer if not for the vocal backlash against the film.
But statistically speaking, you are correct. The academy rarely double dips, and also rarely has the opportunity to do so. Back to back years are very rare for a director to even be nominated. In the case of Hurt Locker and Zero Dark Thirty, there was a three year gap, by the way.
the cinematography could win too
Cinematography will win.
Leo is probably the front runner for leading actor, Iñarritu sure has a chance again.
And I would say, best adapted screenplay, best editing, and a bunch more nominations.
How many it will get I have no idea. Maybe a lot, maybe none. I hope it gets a lot though. share
Hopefully this one will do well but all I see for Leo is another nomination.
Johnny Depp and Michael Fassbender already look to be ahead of him. If Southpaw had gotten better reviews maybe even Jake Gyllenhaal.
Academy loves good portrayals of popular figures.
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Can you show me the statistics? Errrrm No.
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Kate Winslet won for The Reader which has a 58 on Metacritic, and Christoph Waltz won for Inglourious Basterds which has a 69 on Metacritic. Those were only a few years ago.
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Well someone's a little touchy today. Ok so maybe you're right, in the past 15 years no actor has won an Oscar where the Metacritic score is in the 60s although Eddie Redmayne won his on only 72, so who knows? I would just like to point out though that The Revenant doesn't have a score yet, so as it currently stands Johnny Depp is in the lead over Leo based on that theory, I'd also like to point out that Eddie Redmayne and Jake Gyllenhall were the front runners to win until the movies were seen, Jake Gyllenhall is most likely not gonna get a nomination now and Redmayne isn't even a contender to win even with a nomination. Now I'm not saying that The Revenant will go down the same route but let's not get a head of ourselves, could be embarrasing if it all turns on its head.
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Actually Gladiator has a Metascore of 64, just sayin
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I didn't disagree with your point at all
Fassbender looks to be the frontrunner - just as Keaton did last year, so I think Leo still has a chance.
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Of course it is between Fassbender and DiCaprio. Everyone smart could see that. I wouldn't even put Johnny Depp as a best leading actor nominee. Even though it was the best movie he made for a long time
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They'll probably give Best Actor to another Brit.
Poor Leo is sooooooo overdue. By my count, he should've already won at least three Oscars: for "Gilbert Grape," "Catch Me if You Can" and "Revolutionary Road." And he wasn't even nominated for the latter two films.
Just praying Redmayne doesn't repeat. Ugh.
Redmayne isn't repeating, he's already fourth to win at this time (according to critics). I think DiCaprio may get it. Let's remember the Academy also considers the shooting conditions and actor's physical effort. So if we see it that way, DiCaprio has a point ahead every other actor in the category... Isn't the same acting in -25º C conditions in a very dangerous region, than acting in a perfectly confortable set or secular location.
His only real rival is Fassbender, but it will be too much awarding the top acting prize twice in row to a contemporary figure.
who cares? nobody outside the Oscar or actors community cares about oscars nowadays. They are not awarded to the best movie or actor but rather to the best movie or actor that is artsy enough to be considered Oscar worthy.
do a comedy movie and you're likely to never get nominated. Do a serious movie and release it in october/november and everyone will shout for oscars. Release the same movie in july and nobody will talk abt oscars.
It's not going to win best actor. I think Fassbender is going to take that.
Directing is also unlikely.
Possibly cinematography. It's such a beautiful looking film, and it looks really good. I hope it's a huge contender, and not ignored like Master & Commander (which is also a truly great film). Lot of good movies coming out this time around.
-The Revenant
-The Hateful Eight
-Steve Jobs
-The Danish Girl
-Bridge of Spies
-In Heart of the Sea
-Macbeth
I just want leo to finally get the oscar, the internet will proberly brake but heh
Pointing me out on spelling is just one hell of a poor argument..
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