Can a movement like this lead to something worthwhile? Why or why not?
Ok... I'll start by saying I do think reforms are required in government to address some of the issues raised by occupy protestors. But in saying that, let me also say that these issues were being discussed long before occupy arrived and they were not the genesis of the conversation.
This movement may lead to something worthwhile, but if it does it is completely by accident.
The problem with the occupy movement is it represents nothing but arm chair idealism and activism. 'Somebody should do something', when you define neither 'somebody' or 'something' screams laziness and only perpetuates inaction. Finding somewhere to idle while you fail to come up with a real agenda doesn't demonstrate strong desire for any specific changes or reforms, it simply reeks of 'I have observed something, now someone else should do something about it.'
But pointing out something is broken is the easy part. It's coming up with the solve that is the hard part. And this is the problem with occupy, it is the very essence of a gen Y protest, with the attendees being either too lazy or simply not having enough of an understanding of basis of the issues which they are protesting against and why they are there enough to come up with an agenda, while expecting someone else to ride in on a white horse and give them all $100k plus jobs per year with a 4 hours working week.
Smart people get an education and change the system from the inside and successful protests are generally a means of a last resort when all other solves have been tried and unfairly shouted down, removed or defunked.
There are 4 main ingredients to a successful protest.
1. Purpose. There must be a clear end goal, a list of a demands and a way to achieve these things. 'Redistribution of wealth' is not an end goal, it is a vague description of something without explaining how it should occur, and even more so how it should occur in a way viewed to be equitable by all. This should be combined with our good friend...
2. Unification. All members of the protest should be united in the one goal or purpose. The fact that Occupy appears to have conflicting goals and conflicting members will only hurt its ability to taste any success. There are shut down the fed people, there are people who think the shut down the fed people have highjacked the protest. There are people who want to get rid of Obama, there are people who like Obama. Occupy definitely do not show unification on a common goal, they in fact show diversity and contradiction in their ranks as to what they aim to achieve.
3. Leadership. Leadership must be inspiring and symbolic. Right now, not only do Occupy have no clear leader, their doctrine is in fact defined as having no clear leader. While some members may be inspired by some things people have said in the process, Occupy provides no demonstratable spokesperson or someone who the greater masses can be inspired by to allow them to also be swayed into supporting Occupy's cause. Leadership must be educated and be able to logically argue the issues for a result. I have not seen anyone who can discuss the Occupy movement on a political or economic level and demonstrate it as a solve. Anyone would do. An internet personality or 'Mr X' if you will would work, so long as he was articulate and demonstrated a clear message that people could relate to and follow. The fact is, for a movement like this to affect change, they need a clear leader who everyone can get behind.
4. Hardship. Ok, of all the things you need, this is probably the obvious one that Occupy can say they have. Obviously people all over the world are doing it tough in a lot of places. There is high unemployment in Europe and the US and increasing rates of poverty which is where almost all this resentment is coming from. There is a definite feeling by a lot of people that things are harder than they used to be and something should change. This is why Occupy has the initial support that it does.
However, regardless of what the majority of people think about 4, the perception of Occupy by the general public, due to its lacking in points 1, 2 and 3, is that it is not the downtroden that are leading the revolt. The general public sees only a bunch of know-nothing, bored, middle class kids that are protesting, along side serial protestors (people who just enjoy protesting and therefore will show up to a march if one is on... and anyone who has been to college or university will be able to tell you, such people exist) and people that are only there to cause trouble or see it as an opportunity to vandalise or commit criminal acts under the cover of the mob.
Unfortunately, no one has been smart enough within the movement yet to identify these points and therefore the movement will not be successful. It may, however, give birth to a splinter group out of its ashes when all the free wi-fi runs out that are able to successfully act on points 1, 2 and 3 and when that happens, people may say change was due to Occupy... but the truth is that change will be because of that splinter group started by people who were sick of Occupy's purposelessness.
"I am Jack's cold sweat."
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