4/14/08 show


Tonight's episode is running on a two hour block. What do you think it means? Three people competing and the one with the highest winnings taking it all? A regular episode times two, allowing two full games? Who knows? I think it might be a three-way.

Whatever tonight's episode is promosing us, I want to tell you about the last three games I just played on the DVD game. Lately, I've been constantly picking case 8 by my side, and going by 4-12-16-20-24-2 in Round 1 and 6-10-14-18-22. That normally breaks down the board and I then take it by year from there. It wasn't one of my greatest games. Here's the offers I would recieve:

$18,000
$27,000
$35,000
$35,000
$175,000
$120,000
$154,000
$37,000
$56,000

It was down to 10K and 100K. My case and case 9. Right next to each other. Anything could have happened and it wouldn't have been a big deal. But it would have been nice to win the $100,000. Going by what the board was telling me, I switched to case 9. And it would up being...DUN-DUN-DUNNN...$10,000. Oh, well. Not the end of the world.

I played a second game and did the same thing as usual. 8 by my side, cases 4-12-16-20-24-2 and 6-10-14-18-22 in the first two rounds. This was a really nerve-racking game. To show how successful I was, here were the offers:

$18,000
$35,000
$61,000
$99,000
$177,000
$315,000
$435,000
$590,000
$495,000

In the end, it was down to $300.00 and 1M. My case and case 19. I was weary of 19 the the whole game. And the board told was tell me that the million was most likely in 19. I had played several games with case 8 lately (knowing the million had to be in there sooner or later). I just didn't feel it was in there. So, I switched to case 19. What do you think it happened? You will find out after the break...just kidding. Howie opened the case and...DUN-DUN-DUNNN...$300. What a bummer. If you were just thinking my strategy of picking the same number by my side is kind of a cheat, it's games like this that disprove it. This has happened before and it happened within an hour ago. I had picked 8 for several games and I did not trust it when I should have.

After games like this, I feel no longer in the mood to play. But I decided to go at it one more time. This time, I would change my strategy. First, I decided to pick case 16 to keep by my side. I have picked case 16 in the first rounds of the last several games and for the longest time, the million was not hiding in there. It had to be camped out in there soon. I also went with the alternate route in the first two rounds. Round 1: cases 1-5-9-13-17-21. Round 2: cases 3-7-11-15-19. Here is how the nerve-racking and exciting this game would play out:

$22,000
$58,000
$105,000
$198,000
$203,000
$285,000
$350,000
$435,000
$650,000

In the end, it was down to 300K and 1M. My case and case 14. One case apart from each other. And going by the board, the million could have been in either of them. There was nothing too tight or hard to tell. It was either/or. But, considering my initial reasoning for picking case 16 in the first place, I had to stick with my guns. It could have been case 14, but it felt too good not to be true this time. So, I stuck with my case and allowed Howie go through the motions. He proceeded to open the case and...-DUN-DUN-DUNNN...$1,000,000. One of the most wonderful feelings ever. The ninth time I won the million and the seventh time it wound up in my case. When the million is in your case or the remaining one, it is never an easy decision.

This is how much fun I really have with the game. And this is what makes watching the show so frustrating. Watching people pick random case after random case and forgetting where the large numbers were as they play. Considering how "fixed" the show may very well be, maybe it really is tough to remember. Let's just hope tonight's episode is a good one and isn't one of those special shows that drags itself even more slowly than the regular ones. I hope it's a three-way one with three people competing for it all. Those usually cut right to the chase.

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When she picked 11, I got a flash it was $50,000. Let's see how close I was. Sometimes I get flashes, sometimes I don't, but when I do they tend more to be right than to be wrong.

The 'swimsuit edition' doesn't hurt, does it?

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200K (23), 300K (3) and 750K (17). Looking at 18-20-21-22. Nice spread between biggies, could all be safe, but you never know. I am definitely looking at case number 9. Looks big. And then, maybe 14.

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I didn't realize it was 2 hours. And they have 2 contestants. That means they're really going to milk it in places.

Oops, there went the M. 50K is still there.

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400K (13) and 1M (4). As soon as case 4 was revealed, I immediately suspected 13. Case 9 is no longer necessarily a biggie. The board is looking tight. I guess, 16-18 and 24-26. I'm leaning closer to 26.

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Whatever happens next, she should consider the next offer. The board is looking too tight for her to continue. I hope I'm right about 26 being the big one and not 24.

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500K (16). I knew she should have stopped. I am re-considering 9 and definitely considering 26. The 100K must be in either of those. 51% of me is leaning closer to 9. 18 is safe. You might be right about 50K being in hers.

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You were right on the money with $50K in the beginning. It didn't matter if it was in her case, it was her final offer. Ultimately, I was right about 26, but it was 9 and 18 that would prove the randomness of the board.

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750K (4). I'm first looking at 10-12. More towards 10. The rest of the board could be anything so far.

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He is doing awesome. If 6 is safe, 10 has to be big. But if 6 is big, I'm turning to 12-13 instead. And then, maybe 18.

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400K (10) and 500k (25). If 13 is safe, I'm looking at 17. But if 13 is big, I'm looking at 18. I'm also turning my attention to 20, which I see making more sense with the 17-big theory.

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100K (18). I was right about 18. So-so with the remainder of the theory. I'll now say 20-21. More towards 21/his case. It's actually possible he's holding a large number.

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Missed the 50K, what was it? She took the offer when it exceeded the odds. Very smart.

Ate dinner, got company watching.

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You were half right about the 50K. Her case actually had a dollar in it, but the offer she accepted was 50K. Anyway, 3-6-17 are safe. Part of me really believes the million is in his case (21). However, if its in 26, all bets are off. Either 21-25. 20 is safe either way.

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It was hilarious. He took 167,000 bucks but he kept calling the cases and the bank would've offered 500,000



His case 21 had 500 bucks in it, 1,000,000 was in the other case.


Do I CAUSE YOUR DEATH? Just like you caused Michael John's?
Maserati777

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I knew 3-6-17 were safe. Part me leaned closer to 20-21 than 26. However, I really did believe it was 21. That's what's so jarring about your case and the remaining case being right next to each other. If it was me up there, I would have gotten rid off 3-6-17. I might have tried out 26, but I don't really know if I would have had the nerve go beyond that. Considering that guy had mush for brains, he was lucky to get out with 167K.

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I'm not at all convinced the 'offers' made after 'deal' are legitimate. They exceed the odds by more than any of the in-play offers do.

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I'm a half-and-half on that. On one hand, the "after" offers appear far more generous than any of the "before" offers. yet, the offers I've recieved on my best games on the DVD aren't too far from what I've seen on the show. I will definitely say the "after" offers on the show are exaggerated by a tad. They're unofficial offers, so the banker has every "right" to rub the contestants' losses in their faces.

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