The Cigarettes
Presumably when Michael saw the future, and determined what seemingly innocuous and random items he would need for his future escape, he saw himself being interrogated by the FBI.
But also presumably, he never saw the sophisticated anti-smoke reaction at the FBI, because if he saw it without the captain smoking his cigarettes, then he wouldn't have needed them.
Which begs the question: how would he have known that the smoke alarm going off would unlock his chair restraints?
This is the kind of circular logic that just doesn't work when you deal with time travel, or altering future events.