It has nothing to do with consciousness of guilt - it's consciousness of lying. The only reliable way to beat a lie detector is to tell the truth or what you believe is the truth. If he is asked "Did you kill your wife" and he says "No" and the machine says he is telling the truth, that would mean he really believes it. But nothing in the movie suggested that he had put the memory out of his mind or no longer knew he was guilty.
And yes, the polygraph isn't perfect and sometimes people can beat it, but there is no way he would know in advance that he'd be able to beat it. Experienced polygraph operators know all the tricks people use (such as holding your breath or clenching your anus or whatever) and can usually tell when a subject is trying to defeat the test. It just struck me as a plot contrivance that he was so willing to take the test and passed it so easily. I think the movie might have been more effective and realistic if the operator had reported the results as inconclusive.
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