People believe it is so far fetched but I don't know.
They were playing for such an extremely long time, a bad beat had to come sometime.
I'm overworked, underpaid, underloved and overlaid.
http://www.myspace.com/Bryon_A
In the book 'A Big Deal' I beleive its worked out that they would have to play every day for 8 hours for something like 300 years for those two hands to come up against each other in a heads up situation. I can't remember the exact number of years but its pretty horrific.
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Seeing The Man already had one of the 10s in his hand, the probability of having Aces full of 10s fall to a straight flush in the first 10 cards dealt is about 1 in 300 billion. A pretty silly ending to an otherwise good movie.
shareIt is extremely unlikely, but I don't think that it takes away from the movie at all.
"Johnny, you've got to run!"
"Eh, what's the difference?"
Agree completely. This is not a movie about poker strategy or odds, it is a character study. The Kid suffered from hubris, learns life lessons, takes a fall, etc. The poker hand isn't the ending of the movie. The end is where he's fallen so low the little kid takes his last quarter. Man, that is low. But his girlfriend comes back to him, and he still has his skills and can probably win some more money.
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As a previous poster pointed out, it could happen the very next hand. I play a lot of poker, and I've been hit by 1 outers. The odds would be astronomical but it happens. It's a sick beat.
The lottery is 13ish million to one in the UK, but someone usually wins it weekly.
I remember watching the WSOP, I think 2005, Jennifer Harmans flush or full house walked into the straight flush. Everyone was talking about it and Joe Hachem made a point that there are so many tables and players, something sick has to happen.
In the 2008 WSOP main event, a very unlucky fella's Quad aces walked into the royal flush. Now that's sick!
The maths can be worked out, and on paper it can take a 1000+ years to happen. But also, it can happen twice in a row.
"Seriously, lighten up, if you don't like it, just let it go and move on to the next film."
Question is definitely NOT if the hand was gonna come up and which frequency, but, did the kid played it well? Definitely not. He should have gone all in on the turn and Lancey would surely have folded.
Great thing to me, the protagonist lost the hand and gets overwhelmed by losing. Film is representing what happens in real poker, you slowplay with a very very strong hand and gets kicked off by a better one.
And if you ever played you'll certainly gonna recognize the feeling of discovering the hole cards and losing, which is represented very well in the zoom in on the card/eyes etc.
One reason for me to hate rounders it's his very commercial attitude(well poor story, cheap characters...a lot of thing)with Damon ending up winning all he lost in one time and risking he's chance. That's definitely what a poker player should never do and something that's not gonna happen.
I've just come up with an interesting thought, and it's strange that nobody brought it up.
What if the final hand was NOT a coincidence, but LadyFingers was doing the same thing Shooter was supposed to do... which is setting the whole hand up.
Maybe that's why Lancey had been the best for such a long time... he was playing foul when he had to.
Just because it's never shown in the movie doesn't mean it didn't happen, and it's for the viewer to decide whether it was a 38 million - 1 coincidence or a setup.
Sounds plausible to me. Thoughts?
"did the kid played it well? Definitely not. He should have gone all in on the turn and Lancey would surely have folded. "
Lancey played badly too: even with the kid not going all in the odds weren't worth it. Play like that and you'll go broke in the long run. Lancey isn't broke so it's out of character.