Those final two hands
Do you know what the chances are of drawing two back to back hands like that(i.e. a full house and a straight flush) in five card stud? Almost nil!
shareDo you know what the chances are of drawing two back to back hands like that(i.e. a full house and a straight flush) in five card stud? Almost nil!
shareYet, it happened . . . everyone must accept this . . .
shareGranted, but I was just pointing out what the chances are of getting two back to back hands like that in five card stud. It happened because it was a movie.
shareYes the odds are practically nothing but it will happen eventually. They played for a ridiculous amount of time. Eventually you will run into a hand where both players make a very strong hand and the loser gets crushed.
shareYou're right and that's why having the second highest hand in poker is always bad!
shareYes and on top of excepting this even though he relatively outplayed him prior to those two hands, the CINCINATTI KID WILL ALWAYS BE SECOND BEST AS LONS AS LANCEY HOWARD IS AROUND!
shareSomeone in another thread suggested that the dealer cheated.
I cried because I had no shoes üntil I met a man with no sole. ~ Ancient Disco Proverb
The odds decrease greatly when you stack the deck. I think that was the underlying theme of the film.....Edward G. Robinson did what he had to do to win, and Steve McQueen did not.
shareThere is less than a 45-million-to-one chance of it happening. How do I know that? It's one of the fun facts in the Trivia section for this film at IMDB.
shareIf that is true (and I have no reason to assume otherweise), then let's make a quick mathematical experience. In fact, let's assume the chance is even worse, only 50 million to one, because that's an easier number to handle. How many hands should Edward G. Robinson's character play until the chance of him hitting those odds are more than 1 in 5? Well, if my quick 2-minute calculation is correct, it will only take him a bit more than 11 million hands.
Has he played 11 million hands during his career? He might have if he's played for more than half a century!
So there can be a 20 % chance of him hitting those odds once during his long career. I think those odds are believable enough. ;)
But that is how Hollywood dramatizes poker. They couldn't make it come down to a pair of threes losing to a pair of eights!
Any movie or TV show featuring gambling (e.g. those awful Kenny Rogers movies) will show the last two players with improbable hands at the climax.
I disagree with what you are saying, but I will fight to your death for your right to say it;-)
Hehe. Very true. The thought of the climax of the movie coming down to a hand like you mentioned is hilarious. Very Naked Gun-ish. Winning with a nothing hand does have potential if done in the right way. That would really show what a great poker player Lancey was. Afterall, sometimes nothing can be a real cool hand. I know, wrong movie.
shareby EclecticCritic Sun Jul 20 2014 Winning with a nothing hand does have potential if done in the right way.It was... "Sometimes nothing can be a real cool hand." - Cool Hand Luke - share
they had done this all through the film to this point though. Often showed a pair beating a lower pair, in his first game in town Lancey beat the gangster with a high card, and even during that final game they show him taking Pig out the game by (in all likelihood) bluffing trip jacks when there was only a pair showing.
shareI drew a royal flush once. Only had 10 bucks on the hand too. It was at an indian casino and we were playing hold em which does improve the odds. Ill never forget that day. I was so happy and mad. I was like you have got to be kidding me, 10 bucks won on a royal flush. Everyone at the table was clapping and dumbstruck. Dealer had his buddy take a pic. He said hes been working there for 10 years and never dealt that hand.
shareThat's great except with a hand like that it's too bad you couldn't have won more--a whole lot more!
shareI'm saying, it was too bad, I am not much of a gambler but when the flop came I was like this could happen so I bet 8 more bucks on it. You are only playing the dealer in this method of play so I should of bet more! So sad. It was during the day too so it was 50 cent play too. Which is why I was betting low. I just wanted the experience so I went then to play cheap to learn the game. Unfortunately I didn't do the max bet which was 100 bucks.
shareYou know what? I'm a bit of a poker buff myself. Not a pro, but I made a few extra bucks during my college days playing poker. And I've got a few words to say about this. You see, this movie speaks to me, beacuse *I* have lost to a straight flush with a full house once. Now you propably go: "sure, but does it have to happen in the deciding hand?" Well you know what, those kind of hands always become deciding hands, because you just can't throw them away. Just like Steve McQueens' character couldn't. Poor guy could learn everything about the game, except how to get rid of his pride..
This movie is perhaps the greatest movie ever made of gambling, because it is not about gambling itself, it is about the pride and the illusions of the gamblers. Everyone who has ever gambled can relate to Steve McQueen's feelings: in a way he did nothing wrong, because none of us would really have folded that hand, now would we? But then again - he did do something wrong. In his lust for victory, he couldn't tell the difference between what he knew and what he only wanted to know. None of us really can.
Except.. that's right, the Edward G. Robinsons. The superhumans. The one-in-a-million -type of guys. In that same game I was talking about, I saw a guy check the best possible full house in the river even though he had the perfect opportunity to raise. Why did he do that? Because he felt 4-of-a-kind trying to trap him. Well, the cards were shown, and as it turns out, he had analyzed the situation correctly - the guy sitting next to him had 4-of-a-kind waiting for the chance for a check-raise to go all-in! That was and still is the greatest check I have ever seen. I would not have made that check. Even though I've always made more money than I've lost with poker, I really related to Steve McQueen more than to Edward G. Robinson as a player: to err is human, and you have to learn to accept that. You need humility. You need to know when you can trust your instincts and when you can't.
And hey, this lesson doesn't only apply in the gambling world. In the end it is a lesson for all of us, isn't it?
Oh, and about the odds of those hands occuring... well, the two I mentioned are just two out of tens of thousands of mostly crappy, useless, boring hands I've seen played over the years. Only two hands. But hey, think how many hands Robinson's character has played during his career. Hundreds of thousands? Maybe even millions? He'll end up coming across these hands eventually. Propably more often than once or twice during his playing career.
So yeah, these things happen. It's rare, but they happen, and "almost nil" chances are not the same as "nil" chances.
It's like I've said time and time again: that second highest hand in poker hurts!
shareIsn't that what it's all about? The wrong move at the right time?, Lancey Howard (Edward G.)
:-) canuckteach (--:
Just watched a similar outcome on YouTube. A female competitor, who just returned to competitive poker after surgery, held a full house, but a younger guy beat her with a straight flush, on the 'river', in Texas Hold 'EM.
:-) canuckteach (--: