Many characters in the novel ADVISE AND CONSENT were based on real people. For example, the suicide of Brig Anderson was inspired by the suicide of Sen. Lester Hunt. Orrin Knox...Robert Taft The President...Franklin Roosevelt Robt. Leffingwell...David Lilienthal-Robt. Oppenheimer Herbert Gelman...Whittaker Chambers Seab Cooley...Kenneth McKellar Fred Van Ackerman...Joe McCarthy Bob Munson...Lyndon Johnson Warren Strickland...William Knowland Dolly Munson...Perle Mesta Harley Hudson...Harry Truman Stanley Danta...Earle Clements
And Leffingwell's line about being an egghead suggests Adlai Stevenson and his outing as a Communist suggests Alger Hiss (who was a State Dept employee)
Actually, I think Warren Stickland might be Everett Dirksen
It makes sense that Allen Drury would base most of his characters on contemporary politicians, in this case people from the 50s (the book was published in 1957). Warren Strickland might have been based on Knowland, only because Knowland was the Senate Republican leader from Taft's death in 1953 until Knowland left office in 1959 after his disastrous run for Governor of California in 1958. Dirksen didn't become GOP leader until 1959. (Knowland was the man of whom President Eisenhower said, "There is no final answer to the question, 'How stupid can you get?'")
Sen. Lester C. Hunt was a Wyoming Democrat who killed himself in 1954 after learning he had terminal cancer, but who was also under great strain because his son had been caught in a homosexual "sting operation" (as we'd call it today) by the police and the scandal was threatening to get opened up and ruin both the Senator's and his son's lives. Despairing, and perhaps hoping his suicide might prompt others to lay off his son, Hunt shot himself. Terrible. (Interestingly, William F. Knowland was also a suicide, in 1974, when he shot himself while facing a criminal indictment.)
But I wonder if having Fred Van Ackerman as a Senator from Wyoming (a state he was clearly way too liberal for) was a subtle reference by author Allen Drury to the Hunt business (as may have been his making another mountain state, Utah, the home state of closeted Sen. Brig Anderson). If Van Ackerman was based on Joe McCarthy, Drury, a conservative, must have wanted to make the point that left-wing demagogues could arise and be dangerous just as much as right-wing ones. But I have yet to see a real left-wing version of McCarthy.
In the novel, Lafe Smith was from Iowa (hence, the somewhat rustic nickname "Lafe"). In the movie they changed him to a senator from Rhode Island mainly because Peter Lawford, who played him, was the brother-in-law of incumbent President Kennedy, and the connection was too good to pass up. Also, Lawford's accent couldn't pass as Iowan -- it barely passed as Rhode Island -- so all things considered it was the logical switch to make (as well as the fact that Rhode Island is the closest you can come geographically and politically to Massachusetts).
Two former real-life senators had small roles in the movie, both listed as "The Honorable" in the cast: Guy M. Gillette, an Iowa Democrat who served in the Senate from 1936-1945 and again from 1949-1955; and Henry Fountain Ashurst, a Democrat who was one of the first two senators from Arizona, serving in that body from 1912-1941. He's Senator McCafferty, the dozing old senator they had to keep waking up.
True, but RFK was a staff investigator for McCarthy, a job he got in large part due to his father's connections to McCarthy. McCarthy died in office, of cirrhosis of the liver brought on by his heavy drinking, on May 2, 1957. Kennedy didn't enter the Senate until January 3, 1965, so they were never Senate colleagues.
In any case, Bobby outgrew that early association and was never McCarthy's top man (Roy Cohn was). And in no part of his public life did RFK ever -- ever -- behave in even the remotest manner like McCarthy. There were never any Kennedy Senate subcommittees (or any other governmental bodies) falsifying evidence and making baseless attacks on innocent individuals. Both men shared a certain ruthlessness and ambition but there is no comparison in the basic trajectories or nature of their careers.
Joe McCarthy was expelled from the Senate in 1954. He died three years later in a facility that many construed was for mentally challenged. Cohn was a closeted homosexual and because of that, Cohn claimed Bobby Kennedy held a life-long vendetta against Cohn. RFK hated homosexuals and used his influence with JFK to ruin homosexual Gore Vidal's friendship with Jack and Jackie. Vidal never forgave RFK whose ruthless ambition to succeed his brother into the White House became an obsession.
Kennedy had his issues and I don't claim he was a saint or had an unblemished past. But in no way was his career comparable to McCarthy's. Few people's were.
As to Kennedy's White House ambitions, these took shape only in the aftermath of his brother's assassination. Kennedy had no political base before then and would have had little chance to succeed his brother in 1968 (assuming a JFK second term), though this might have come about later. RFK never ran for office until he resigned as Attorney General under LBJ and entered the 1964 NY Senate race, after which it was clear he wanted to "restore" the Kennedy name to the White House at some point. There was never any indication before JFK's murder that Bobby harbored presidential ambitions. His ambitions were directed towards his brother's career. Had Jack never been killed and won another term, Bobby would have stayed on as A.G. or in some other capacity for his brother, whose most trusted confidant he was. He might have sought office later on, but his own political ambitions, presidential or otherwise, were never in evidence until after Nov. 22, 1963.
McCarthy was not expelled from the Senate, nor did he die in "a facility that many construed was for mentally challenged." He was condemned (not "censured", as is commonly stated, though the difference is not substantive) by a 67-22 vote on Dec. 2, 1954, but never expelled. He continued to serve in the Senate until his death, though he was stripped of his subcommittee (the Democrats won back control of the Senate in 1954 so McCarthy would have lost his chairmanship anyway) and remained largely ignored by his colleagues and the public thereafter. Had he lived and run for a third term in 1958, he would almost certainly have been badly defeated.
McCarthy died not at some nameless "facility" but at the Bethesda Naval Hospital, one of the nation's premier medical centers, which routinely and publicly treats many members of Congress, the military and the White House. His death was from liver failure due to chronic alcoholism; he wasn't mentally "challenged", although he did suffer from the DTs on occasion in his last months. His wife and Roy Cohn always denied that he had had a drinking problem at all, which was an absurd, almost insultingly moronic, lie refuted by everyone who knew him, including most of his friends. That was a tragic aspect of this smart but fundamentally reckless and dishonest man who destroyed so many lives for his own political gain.
When I interviewed author Gore Vidal in 1982 about his Senatorial campaign in California, he told me off the record that both Bobby and Teddy Kennedy had presidential ambitions. He used the word "dynasty." As I was the only gay reporter interviewing him that day, he felt free to divulge. We spoke for 1/2 hour. I remember him joking about the TV soap opera DYNASTY, and the character of the gay son of John Forsyth. Both RFK and Teddy sought the presidency, but neither got close. Vidal was the first gay man to seek office in New York who didn't care if anybody knew about his gayness - - this was 1960, remember - - and as I'm from there his fame and political connections were not unknown to me. I was 18 at the time. He also told me that RFK once referred to gay black author James Baldwin as Martin Luther Queen. RFK was my Senator. In 1968, however, I supported Sen. Gene McCarthy (no relation to Joe) for president and voted for him.
You must be over 60 like me to know so many details. Did you ever meet RFK? I met Gene McCarthy in 1974 when I was in college. He was a fine gentleman and would have made a great president over either HHH or Nixon. I never met Bobby, but did meet friends of his, Sam Beard and Adam Walinsky, in New York. They indicated cult-like devotion to the Kennedy name. Both ran for office unsuccessfully. Walinsky hated gays, I was told by some who worked in his campaign. He wanted to be Attorney-General of New York. He knew Roy Cohn and hated him with a passion. Maybe because Cohn's buddy, J. Edgar Hoover despised RFK. Both Hoover and Cohn were gay - - Hoover the more closeted - - and this may account for Walinsky's hatred. Cohn died of AIDS.
I didn't mean to tell you all this. Anyway, thanks for your input. The Preminger film skirts many topics. I read the book when it came out. Next to LAURA, it's my favorite Otto flick.
I'm from NY too and Bobby was my Senator, though I was too young to vote for him. (Frankly -- I was 11 at the time -- I sort of preferred Keating in 1964, mainly because of the "carpetbagger" charge against Kennedy.)
It's long been known that Bobby and his ilk shared the usual vicious, off-handed bigotry against gays common to that era, as you're doubtless well aware, but there's no evidence that it amounted to any sort of obsession or vendetta. Remember, both he and even JFK were hardly at the forefront of civil rights and basically wished the issue would go away or at least proceed below the radar, so as not to hurt JFK's reelection prospects. But eventually the pressure of circumstances forced them to act in a positive manner. I remember a British reporter wrote after RFK's assassination that one of the things that made Bobby different from other politicians was that he showed evidence of growth, that unlike most people he proved himself capable of evolving beyond his early ruthlessness and intolerance toward a more inclusive and sympathetic view. This was well evident by 1968 and I'm sure that his attitudes towards gays would have changed had he lived into the 70s and beyond, as time and circumstances changed. He wasn't a hater in any real sense.
Interesting what Vidal told you in 1982 but it must be kept in mind that he had his own issues and take on things and that just because he says something doesn't mean it's the truth. By then it was of course obvious that both Bob and Ted had had presidential ambitions -- that was hardly hot news -- but whether that meant they had always harbored such ambitions, certainly in any formed, thought-through manner, is another thing altogether. It's pretty clear he had his own ax to grind re the Kennedys so his comments must be taken in context: they might well have been just his own slanted opinion. (He's been known to shade the truth, as do most public figures.) When Vidal ran for the House in 1960 (in what was then an almost hopelessly Republican district, though today its successor district is Democratic) he never ran as an openly gay candidate and I don't recall that this ever became an issue for people -- of course, there may have been a whispering campaign, but Vidal certainly did not advertise his sexual identity. In that district at that time, he would have lost anyway, straight or gay.
Oddly enough, I actually did meet RFK when I was a kid. He and his brothers had attended my school when they lived in the NYC suburbs (where I also live) in the mid-30s (before his father was Ambassador to Britain), and after he became a Senator he came to the campus for a visit, which is where I got to shake his hand (no more). My great-uncle was in Congress from Queens for 32 years and knew the entire family (JFK also cited him in a speech he gave in NYC in '60). He liked Jack but was so-so on Bobby, whom he eventually thought too liberal (!). But in truth I supported HHH in '68, even over RFK, who was my number-two pick for the nomination. I wish he had stayed out of things and waited until 1976, when he could probably have been elected and almost certainly not shot. But I never liked Gene McCarthy (whom I'm sure would have flipped out had anyone suggested a relationship between him and Joe). I thought (and manintain) that Gene was too unfocused, arrogant, self-absorbed and indecisive to be President. Of course I would have supported him against Nixon, but I think he would have been a terrible President. His later wanderings about the political landscape only reaffirmed his flakiness and unsteadiness. The presidency is power, and to hand power to manifestly unstable people is irresponsible...look, obviously, at 1968's ultimate "winner".
I remember when Adam Walinsky ran for NYS AG in 1970. He came across as arrogant even then, and of course lost to Louis Lefkowitz. (That was the last election in which I couldn't vote: thank you 26th Amendment.) I know nothing about his attitude toward gays but again this doesn't surprise me, given the era in which he was brought up. But again, the fact is this was irrelevant as far as his run for office was concerned at the time. I also doubt his hatred of Roy Cohn was gay-based, though that may well have been an added factor in Walinsky's hostility. A lot of people hated Roy Cohn all his life, and I'm sure for most people it had absolutely nothing to do with his being gay: it had to do with his being a sneaky, conniving bastard. I think you're overstating people's dislike or hatred of these guys on the basis of their being gay. Most people were either unaware of or cared less about that aspect and it certainly couldn't account for all the hatred or hostility toward the likes of Hoover or Cohn; at most it served as an added "incentive" for some dopes to take out some additional aggression against them. Walinsky later drifted over to the far right -- I wonder how that would have sat with Bobby? Obviously his "Kennedy loyalty" didn't run deep -- it certainly was never transferred to Teddy.
Well, we've certainly managed one of the more wide-ranging discussions on this board. I'd be glad to pick up on Laura or on this film later on. Nice talking with you!
I'm interested in knowing the name of your great uncle. Since the great Adlai Stevenson first ran for president in 1952 my interest in politics was sparked. Stevenson was why I became a Democrat. I was only ten-years- old at the time and unable to vote. Nevertheless, I liked hearing him speak and felt he'd have made a great president one day. He seemed to be honorable and gifted and believed in the principles he professed.
After he lost to DDE, I kept in tune with the politics of the day and watched a lot of tv shows like Ed Murrow and Meet the Press(still do). Supported the reform movement and was anti-Tammany. My mother voted for LaGuardia and FDR. The tv news shows and broadcast conventions I watched made me seem like an egg head. I didn't mind the cracks, tho, since my hero Adlai was called that! When he ran again in '56, I had moved from NYC to Yonkers. Living in the suburbs with all the Rockefeller Republicans made me feel like an outsider. Still, I stayed a Democrat, supporting Adlai, then JFK over Nixon in '60. I was the only teenager wearing a Kennedy button. After he won, people I'd known for years stopped talking to me. Neighbors became unfriendly.
When JFK was shot and the LBJ crowd took over...the whole Camelot optimism that JFK brought with him started fading. Johnson didn't appeal to me and so I didn't vote in '64. By 1967, the idealism was replaced by disillusionment. The war and the riots in the streets. People felt betrayed. Johnson meant well, but when I heard he was using the military draft to silence dissent, in my eyes he became a monster. When the anti-war people turned to Bobby to enter the race against LBJ, he declined. Even tho he hated what we were doing in Viet-Nam, he put partisanship first.
After being approached by the anti-war Democrats to take on LBJ, Eugene McCarthy stuck his neck out and accepted the challenge. I immediately joined the cause in November, 1967 and joined with Allard Lowenstein and others. McCarthy bravely stepped in where others, like RFK and McGovern, feared the repercussions. Not only that, but Gene reminded me of Stevenson the egg head! As you know, Gene entered the NH primary and won the most delegates. He put LBJ on the ropes and two weeks later, the unpopular president quit.
I think you are wrong about Gene. If for nothing else, he should be admired for ousting an unpopular president. Far from being indecisive, he did the right thing at the right time. He would have made a great president, much more so than opportunist Humphrey whose groveling at the feet of Johnson and the party hacks only served to heap scorn upon himself. Some of this backfired on him when Gov, Connolly deserted HHH and gave the south to George Wallace. As for Gene's "wandering around the political landscape" and having "flakiness and unsteadiness," he never stopped being a Democrat. When the LBJ-HHH cabal made it be known they were combining forces to take Gene's senate seat away in revenge for driving Johnson from the White House, McCarthy was faced with the task of raising a huge war chest to defend his senate seat in the millions of dollars. A campaign he probably would lose anyway in view of all the iou's the party owed Humphrey. Not to be forced to end his political career to a vendetta, he ran again for president six years later. I was set to vote for him until just days before the election when the vendetta freaks removed his name from the ballot in New York. They argued he would take enough votes away from Carter to give the state to Ford.
Sorry to go on so long. But I just had to set the record straight. Others also fell victim to the vendetta against those who took part in ousting LBJ: Sens, Fullbright, Clark, Congressman Lowenstein. Plus the Sen. from Michigan whose name escapes me. All lost their seats. Gene wasn't alone, you see. As for me, intolerance for dissent is one reason why I'm an independent voter who disdained party labels and a career in politics. But, then, I've always taken the role of an outsider!
Apologies, but this turned out to be a very, very long post. If you want to ignore it, I wouldn't blame you! But here it is anyway, with my honest regrets for its blabbiness.
Well, we share a lot of the same interests or pursuits -- especially public affairs, the news business, etc. I wasn't born at the time of Stevenson's first campaign but used to admire the man greatly. That admiration cooled a lot after I read of his pro-segregation stands (or at least hostility toward integration, including Brown) in 1956. Stevenson was the choice of the southern wing of the Democratic Party, including its most ardent segregationists, that year because he insisted upon a hands-off approach to the issue by the federal government. Sen. Estes Kefauver, his chief rival for the nomination, was a pro-integration southern liberal (from Tennessee) who lost support all over the South because of his stand, which was a truly courageous -- even physically courageous -- thing to do. (Kefauver and the junior Senator from Tennessee, Albert Gore, Sr., were the only two southern lawmakers who refused to sign Strom Thurmond's notorious "Southern Manifesto", opposing school integration and all other forms of desegregation, in 1956.) When Stevenson threw the choice of a VP nominee to the convention Kefauver won on the second ballot over JFK, but the ticket was so weak even Tennessee voted narrowly for Eisenhower. As to black voters, Ike won over 40% of their vote that year, and was even publicly endorsed by Representative Adam Clayton Powell, expressly because of Stevenson's anti-integration views. If only they'd known of Ike's own personal views on race, summed up by his expressing his dismay over Brown to Earl Warren at a White House dinner in 1954: "Can't you understand it if some mother doesn't want her sweet little daughter sitting next to some big ugly buck in school?" Can you believe a President of the United States in the middle of the 20th century could say such a stupid, racist thing? Even Nixon thought Eisenhower's racial views were primitive and uninformed, straight out of the 19th century. But Stevenson wasn't a whole lot better.
When Gore Vidal wrote his 1960 play The Best Man (filmed very well in 1964, with Henry Fonda), he modeled the central character (Fonda's) on Stevenson as he saw him: an egghead, very smart, but totally indecisive -- his point being that in the contest for the nomination depicted in that play, it was as well for the country that neither the ruthless McCarthyite demagogue nor the wishy-washy intellectual win the presidency, but rather someone from the firm and sensible center. Vidal was an admirer of Stevenson up to a point, but even he had the sense to see that Adlai's personal failings might not have made him the best President. Personally, I still would have voted for him over Ike, but I have long lost any blind admiration for the man, and looking back it was probably just as well (for a number of reasons) he never became President. By 1952 a change was probably in order, even though it elevated Nixon to national office. If Stevenson had been President Joe McCarthy would have continued his rampages unchecked, with the avid encouragement of an infuriated and frustrated GOP once again denied the presidency after 20 years of Democratic control. In the long run it was probably better to have had Eisenhower, though I'm no fan of his. He at least calmed things down and gave the country some respite from the confrontations of the previous years, though more were on their way.
I agree that Gene McCarthy was in the Stevenson mold, but I don't take that as a compliment. (McCarthy nominated Stevenson at the 1960 convention, in another quixotic gesture.) Gene was a true liberal, which Adlai was not, but he had always been considered self-absorbed and contemptuous of other political leaders. He once said he should be President because "I'm twice as smart as Johnson, twice as liberal as Stevenson, and twice as Catholic as Bobby", hardly the mark of a modest or emotionally stable or intellectually curious man. He was an odd person for public office and while he was smart and honest he was indeed extremely arrogant and incapable of leading, of cobbling together the kind of presidency that would move people and make real changes -- that would make for a workable, successful presidency. It's one thing to become the leader of a lot of people on a hot-button issue like the war -- in fact, that wasn't difficult -- and while it took political courage to defy Johnson, McCarthy was never deterred by strictly political considerations. In many ways that was to his credit, but in politics, once you get beyond making some grand statement, you actually have to work and lead, and in neither of these was McCarthy ever recognized as excelling. He was considered administratively weak (his campaign was chaotic, never a good sign), rather lazy and uninvolved in the Senate, and he had never been a leader in the Senate on anything -- legislation, the war, anything. That's why many anti-war leaders were surprised that McCarthy took the plunge and opposed Johnson -- most of them had considered him to be the last person in the Senate likely to do so, and it was clear that while his opposition to the war was honest, his campaign focused on little else, and he had no real plans of his own beyond a nebulous call for withdrawal. He was doing this in no small part to satisfy his own frustrations and sense of entitlement.
You are under some illusions about McCarthy and some other political history I feel must be corrected (and I hope I'm not being harsh in saying so: I don't mean to be). First, John Connally did not "give" the South to Wallace. At the convention, he held the South for Humphrey (quite a spectacle: the northern liberal civil-rights champion being put over the top by conservative southerners!). In the general, Connally exercised no influence beyond Texas and in any case the notion that Wallace required his or anyone else's intervention to carry the Deep South is nonsense: he was assured from the beginning of winning his own AL, plus GA, MS and LA. Arkansas came later. Most thought he'd carry SC but thanks to Strom Thurmond Nixon pulled off an upset there. Nixon carried most of the rest of the South -- VA, KY, TN, NC, FL, OK -- where Humphrey never stood any serious chance (though he came fairly close in Kentucky). HHH carried only West Virginia and -- Texas. And that was expressly thanks to Connally's conservatives and the TX liberals under the guidance of Sen. Ralph Yarborough putting aside their differences to deliver the state to Humphrey -- which they did, by a scant but solid 39,000, despite the universal expectation that Nixon would certainly carry Texas...and despite the Wallace vote in the state. Connally certainly did not "desert" HHH. Quite the opposite: it was only because of him that Humphrey won Texas's 25 electoral votes, not enough to win, but it kept things closer. That sort of Democratic Texas is long gone, unfortunately.
As to McCarthy, there was no mythical "LBJ-HHH" cabal planning on taking his Senate seat away from him in 1970. McCarthy announced in early '69 that he would not run for a third term in '70, and years before his presidential campaign there had been rampant speculation, never denied, that he would retire then anyway, out of boredom with the Senate. There was never any "cabal" formed to force him out. Nor was there any indication that Humphrey, though he wanted back into office, would have run against McCarthy in the 1970 primary. He might have done so, but nothing was ever said of that, and there was no guarantee that he'd have beaten Gene had he run (though personally I think he would have done). In any case, it was all moot as very early on McCarthy made it clear he wouldn't run -- but not because he was being forced out by anybody. (Interestingly, Sen. Yarborough of Texas prophesied in late 1968 that he would be opposed in his 1970 primary by -- Lyndon Johnson! Johnson and Connally did indeed get involved in the 1970 Texas Democratic primary, backing Lloyd Bentsen over Yarborough -- in part for personal political revenge, in part because they believed -- almost certainly correctly -- that Yarborough would lose to Representative George Bush in the fall. The moderate Bentsen was their choice, and he won both the primary and general and became a distinguished Senator, VP nominee under Dukakis, and Secretary of the Treasury under Clinton. The defeated Bush, unfortunately, went further.)
And as to his remaining a Democrat, you said it yourself: in 1976 McCarthy ran for President as an Independent. What for? Was there an urgent summons from his countrymen to run? Why do so as an Independent with no chance of being elected? If it was that important, why not go through the primaries as a Democrat and compete there? Sorry, it had nothing whatsoever to do with a noble desire not to end his career on a vendetta: on the contrary, it can be well argued that his 1976 candidacy was itself a vendetta, an effort to demonstrate his influence by costing the Democrats the White House. Otherwise why not run as a Democrat? McCarthy might indeed have cost Carter NY had he been on the ballot; he did cost Carter Maine, Oklahoma, Iowa and Oregon. Carter carried NY by only 289,000, well under JFK's 383,000 and HHH's 370,000, and enough self-satisfied NY liberals might well have rejected Carter for the Great God Gene to throw the state -- and the presidency -- narrowly to Ford, who by the way would still have lost the popular vote. Such imbecile liberals did cost Carter the state in 1980 when they assuaged their consciences by voting for the hero of the hour, John Anderson, who had the Liberal Party line in NY despite having been a Goldwater conservative for most of his career. (They also cost Democrats two NY Senate races: in 1970 by flocking in droves to the embattled Charles Goodell, a conservative until his appointment to the Senate after RFK's death, over genuine liberal Richard Ottinger, in solidarity with what the New York Times urged: to teach Nixon a lesson for the WH's support of James Buckley -- doing, of course, exactly what Nixon and his minions wanted, deserting the real liberal candidate for the recent convert who couldn't win, thereby splitting the vote and handing the seat to Buckley; and in 1980, voting for Javits on the Liberal line and allowing Al D'Amato to squeak in...though the failure of Elizabeth Holtzman to become a Senator was absolutely no loss. God save us from noble, uncompromising liberals.) Anyway, in addition to his self-regardant 1976 campaign, McCarthy also ran weird little half-campaigns for Congress in both New Hampshire and later back in Minnesota, never being anything more than a curiosity factor of little substance and with no reason for running other than his desperate need for attention. No, Eugene McCarthy certainly had his merits, but he was a weak, indecisive leader motivated throughout most of his career by his own egocentric whims. His anti-war stance was genuine and his candidacy brave, but he was one of the least suitable people to have led it; any other, better qualified person who had run instead would have engendered similar support. McCarthy used 1968 as much to boost his own sense of self as to bring about real change. And that is the baleful truth.
Oh, about this vendetta business: you seem to instill in Johnson et al superhuman powers and lay any liberal defeat to this mythical "vendetta". It's true that Vietnam played a role in the defeat of some senators -- Clark of PA was opposed by a pro-LBJ Congressman, Daniel Flood, in the primary and while he won, his anti-war stand cost him his seat in November; Wayne Morse of Oregon and Ernest Gruening of Alaska, the only members of Congress to vote against the Gulf of Tonkin Resolution in 1964, also lost their seats in 1968. But to put this down to some conspiracy-theory "vendetta" is fantasy. Pro-administration Democrats needed little incentive to oppose these guys, and Johnson was too preoccupied with the war and the other horrible events of 1968 to worry much about their political fates. Each race turned much more on its local dynamics. Clark's "elitist" liberalism didn't wear well with many in PA at that time, and he was in any case very vulnerable as he came up for a third term. Morse drew a former Congressman, Robert Duncan, as a primary opponent because in 1966 Morse had endorsed Mark Hatfield, the state's anti-war Republican governor, for the Senate over Duncan, the pro-war Democratic nominee who lost as a result of Morse's intervention; Duncan nearly beat Morse in the '68 primary where party disloyalty played the biggest role, and Morse in turn lost very narrowly to Bob Packwood that fall because of a disastrous debate performance days before the election that shifted the polls against him. Gruening lost his primary because his opponent, Mike Gravel, spent a fortune on last-minute TV commercials just before the primary, something new in Alaska politics in those days, and won; Gruening ran as a write-in in November and was expected to cost the Democrats the seat, but Gravel managed a victory in spite of this and went on to his own flaky Senate career. But even in these races neither Johnson nor his followers can be factually accused of following some organized vendetta against these guys. Certainly the war had split the Democratic Party and these splits were reflected in some intra-party contests. But that does not constitute some formal, set-up "vendetta" with secret instructions from on high. (I assume the Senator from Michigan you refer to was Phillip Hart; he did not lose his seat; he was reelected overhwelmingly in 1970 and retired voluntarily in 1976. Shortly after announcing his retirement he was diagnosed with cancer. He didn't quite make it to the end of his term: he died in late Dec. 1976, just a week or so before his term would have ended.) And as far as anti- and pro-war candidates go, in Ohio in 1968, an anti-war candidate, John Gilligan, an ex-Congressman, ousted the two-term conservative Senator Frank Lausche in the Democratic primary, though he lost in the fall when Lausche endorsed the entire Republican ticket, from Nixon on down. Gilligan was elected Governor in 1970; his daughter is Kathleen Sebelius, recently Governor of Kansas and now Obama's HHS Secretary -- though I wish he'd left her in Topeka so she could have run for the Senate next year, a race in which she was leading and would have become the first Democrat to win a Senate race in KS since 1932. Oh, well...kiss that one good-bye.
By the way, Gene did not win the most delegates in the NH primary. In fact he lost the primary, 49-42. The media portrayed that as a McCarthy "victory" on the basis that he ran much "better" than expected, just as four years later they deemed Ed Muskie the "loser" of the primary because he got "only" 48% of the vote, less than half, enough to convince them to anoint McGovern, with 32%, the "winner". Asinine and absurd.
I agree that RFK showed political cowardice in not taking on LBJ in the first place (he was the anti-war crowd's first choice), but it was not simply out of "partisanship". As you know Bobby hated Lyndon but his first consideration was not the party but his own career, with attendant (and, as it turned out, well-founded) concerns about his personal safety. He was never an LBJ supporter. His decision to enter the fray after McCarthy demonstrated LBJ's vulnerability was hardly courageous and plainly opportunistic but it's interesting to note that Kennedy nonetheless immediately eclipsed McCarthy and beat him soundly from then on, except in Oregon. But he should have stayed out and waited till '76, as I said before. A lousy year, 1968.
Of course, if you want to talk about opportunists, look no further than George McGovern, another "egghead" who was an unmitigated disaster as a candidate and would certainly have been a disaster as President. (My vote for him in 1972 was strictly a protest against the sure-to-be-reelected RMN.) McGovern dove into the '68 race late to sop up any stray RFK support and pave the way for his own bid four years later. Of course, at least he endorsed Humphrey. McCarthy, typically, skulked away and said nothing until way too late in the campaign, when he grudgingly endorsed him. He was typical of so many liberals who walk away when they don't get exactly what they want. It's these self-righteous fools who gave us Nixon in '68 and Bush in 2000 -- the Simon-pure crowd who deemed HHH too "tainted" by LBJ to merit the presidency despite the dishonesty and instability of his Republican opponent, who 32 years later thought the egotistical Nader a wholesome saint who could do no wrong (his manifest unsuitability to office notwithstanding, not to mention the impossibility of his winning), and so wasted their votes on him because they only agreed with 95% of what Gore was saying -- thus handing the presidency to the most unsuited, incompetent idiot to have occupied the office in at least 80 years. (Without Nader, Gore would have cleanly and clearly carried FL and NH and won without any biased Supreme Court intervention.) Politics isn't about being pure and losing, it's about winning power and exercising it for the best results possible, and a lot of people can't cope with that hard reality.
Sorry, but that stuff about Johnson using the draft to silence critics is another canard. I don't mean to be nasty, but that's just plain ridiculous, as well as untrue. How could he have "used the draft" to do so? One reason there were hundreds of thousands of anti-war protesters in the streets and campuses was precisely because the men mostly had deferments from the draft and were free to protest! No one did or could use the draft in a punitive manner -- how could you even physically go about it? Pick out the protesters from the pro-war kids on a nationwide scale, out of millions of draft-age people? Draft only anti-war protestors? This is absurd, Nam-era paranoia. I registered for the draft, had a somewhat low number and might well have "had to go" had I not also had a deferment. I was against the war but let's be honest, like a lot of people I was prompted in no small part by my own self-interest. A lot of poor kids not in school couldn't get such deferments and went instead, and I feel no pride in that, a situation in which I, like millions of others, played my small part.
Anyway, sorry for this excessively long post, but there was a lot to write about. Oh, my great-uncle (the Congressman from Queens) was James J. Delaney, a Democrat who served from 1945-47 and again from 1949-79. (He lost in the 1946 Republican sweep.) He rose to be chairman of the House Rules Committee in his last term. He began as a conventional, organization liberal but drifted right in the 60s and wound up being cross-endorsed by the Conservative Party from 1968 on. He flirted with party disloyalty, backing Buckley in his 1970 race, but after a tough primary in 1972 and Nixon's problems, he made his peace with the party and resumed his loyalty to it. He represented the so-called "Archie Bunker" district, where the TV character lived, so its blue-collar conservatism was reflected in his career. When he retired in '78 he was succeeded by Geraldine Ferraro, ulitmately Mondale's unqualified VP nominee in 1984. I know her and her family well and they're not to be trusted, to put it as mildly as possible.
Still here? I'd better quit before you tune me out for good!
Your steadfast endorsement of Gore Vidal's words - - by way of Lee Tracy's characterization of an ex-president from "The Best Man," - - is commendable. Power is indeed not a toy we give to good children. It must be used for the good of all. Vidal fashioned Tracy's character after Harry Truman. Now, to be sure, Truman was no egghead like Stevenson(Fonda) or McCarthy. He knew how to use power for the good of all -- like you say. Dropping the bomb on Japan to end the war, for instance. Maybe the eggheads would have dithered. However, Truman was also pragmatic. He knew how to appease the south enough to win election in '48. He would never have won that year had he been for school integration, for instance. True, Strom Thurmond bolted the party and ran against Truman. But many like Sen. Jim Byrnes of South Carolina, who forced Wallace off FDR's ticket in place of Harry because he thought Wallace too liberal, held the south together for Truman to win. Truman also ran with Alban Barkley of Kentucky as a running mate, a shrewed move on Harry's part. Then, we must not forget, Truman began his career in Missouri with KKK behind him. A point not forgotten by those tempted to throw their lot in with Dixiecrat Thurmond. Of course, Truman needed the black vote as well as the segregationists...so he threw them a bone by integrating the armed forces by executive order(asking Congress was asking for a public brawl & blood- letting, to be avoided). May I ask are you of the Afro-American race? The reason I ask is because you seem to harbor ill will for Adlai because he resisted integration. The charge is true only if you make the same charge against Harry. In truth, both men were men of their times. Both were aware that to antagonize the south was foolhardy. Few running for national office dared to do so. Both ran with southern running mates. Both were not being racist. Both were being pragmatic. You could make a better case, as many did, that Adlai was soft on communism, than call him a racist.
Now on to '68. McCarthy did win more delegates even tho he garnered only 43% of the vote. This was because Johnson ran with two different slates of delegates to Gene's one. Sort of like Obama winning in Texas over Clinton, even tho she won the popular vote. Next, true Connolly did hold the south for HHH at the Chicago convention. But it isn't because he loved HHH. Connolly was a hawk(more so than HHH) and didn't want to see a dove like Gene win. Together, they narrowly defeated the peace plank the doves wanted inserted in the party's platform. No, Connolly had more of a pragmatic reason to back HHH....and the reason was that he sorely wanted to be Hubert's running mate. Once having secured the nomination, however, HHH had other plans. He'd choose his senate colleague over the Texas gov., who thought he made a deal with Hubert. Fuming...Connolly felt betrayed and angry that Humphrey scorned him AND a balanced ticket by going with a northerner like Muskie. Had he been on the ticket, the outcome would surely have been different as both Nixon and Wallace might not have fared so well outside Texas. So Connolly never strayed outside Texas and later became a Republican serving a Republican president in his cabinet. Humphrey blundered by not having a balanced ticket. He probably expected Connolly, like McCarthy and McGovern, to bury the hatchet and jump in and campaign for him at the last minute. He also underestimated Wallace who also did well enough in northern states like New Jersey to carry it for Nixon. So you see, it isn't just liberals who skulk away when rejected. Southern running mates were good enough for FDR, Truman, Stevenson, Kennedy, but not for Hubert. Is not he an example of being "Simon-pure"?
LBJ did have a Draft Director named Gen. Hershey. College students who protested the war were threatened by him that if they didn't stop, he'd lift their deferments. I can't cite any cases where this happened, but I do know of a few students who toned down their criticisms. I, however, was not deferred nor drafted. It wouldn't have mattered anyway as I was outspoken all during the war, writing editorials in my local Mt. Vernon newspaper, the Daily Argus; attending anti-war rallies; hearing Bella Abzug speak out; joining the Fifth Ave. Peace Committee, etc. Did stuff in college as well.
Yes, I heard of your great-uncle. I knew other congressmen, like Fred Richmond, Dick Ottinger, Ogden Reid; I lived in their districts. Fred lost his seat due to a gay scandal. I campaigned for the other two for Sen. and Gov. I met Ed Koch and voted for him as mayor over Cuomo because Mario was using anti-Gay rhetoric against Ed in '77. I was president of College Young Democrats and hosted Ramsay Clark, Shirley Chisolm, and Paul O'Dwyer, a sainted dove devoted to the cause of peace and justice, helped him to become president of the City Council. Voted for him twice for Senator of United States. He lost to lap dog Javits. I voted for Ottinger after he beat Paul, but, as you say, Goodell ruined it for us. Decadent Rockefeller avoided Goodell after dropping him on us like a bomb. I think it fitting the way NR died...in a love nest with a whore. To think, this clown wanted to be president! Could tell you plenty about him and the time I ran into his invention, Kissinger. But all that can wait for later.
Cheers.
P.S. Maybe you should give me your e-mail address. This is a movie site after all.
I knew you'd pick up on the veiled Vidalism I inserted...it was quite naturally on my mind! (Is there such a thing as "Vidalia", a reference to all things Gore Vidal? Like the onions?!)
No, I'm not African-American, just a white man. (Remember my great-uncle?) My point about Adlai was that for someone with such a reputation as a sterling liberal, his racial views were quite illiberal. It wasn't just that he was being pragmatic (and shameful enough if he was)...he genuinely had little contact with or understanding of the black community. He wasn't a racist like some psychotic anti-"Negro" politicians of his time, like Thurmond et al, but he was content to avoid this issue altogether and allow the South to do its own thing. Maybe he had other concerns he deemed more lofty. The fact that he had southern running mates both times clearly was meant to appease the South (though Kefauver was hardly the type of southerner to accomplish this), but in this he was following the traditional Democratic procedure of picking a southern running mate for "balance", especially since for decades no southerner could hope to be nominated for the top spot itself. Every Democratic VP candidate from 1928-1960 was a southerner, with the exception of Iowan Henry Wallace in 1940. Johnson and later Carter were the first southerners at the top of the ticket and so "reverse-balanced" it by choosing a northern VP. But you're correct, not only about HHH in '68, but on other occasions when a northern candidate chose another northerner for Veep ('72, '84, '00) the Dem ticket lost...although many of us continue to, shall we say, "question" that last result. Of course, having a southerner as VP didn't guarantee victory -- '28, '52, '56, '88, '04 -- but in those cases other issues were of much more importance.
John Connally (with an "a": it is confusing) may have wanted the 1968 VP slot, but if so he should have been a more adept pol to realize that with the baggage of LBJ already weighing upon him, the last thing HHH needed was "Johnson Lite" on his ticket. There's no evidence that sticking Connally on the ticket would have changed the basic result of a Nixon victory. He would have pretty much guaranteed Texas, but as I said before he did get out there for Humphrey, buried the hatchet, and turned his formidable organization loose for HHH, the main reason he carried the state anyway. But it's highly unlikely Connally would have been enough to pull any other southern state to Humphrey over either Nixon or Wallace, though he might have put Arkansas a bit more into play and have helped in Kentucky, where Humphrey lost by I recall about 48,000. But HHH would have lost Maine (carried only because of Muskie), and it's hard to see where else the conservative Connally might have helped Humphrey (perhaps Missouri). Of course no one can ever know for sure, but there's no real reason or evidence to believe that a Humphrey-Connally ticket would have been successful. He might well have cost Humphrey some states he did carry, such as Connecticut and Washington (state), besides Maine. Anyway, even if it was just in Texas, certainly not an unimportant state, Connally, whatever his issues, didn't skulk away from Humphrey and actively helped him. That was a hell of a lot more than McCarthy ever did. (Many conservatives also "skulk off" at times but that's fine with me as I have no wish to see them win. It's smug, self-satisfied liberals who assuage their own little consciences and vote in ways that throw elections to right-wing disasters like Bush in 2000 I have utter contempt for.)
About HST.... First, Truman was never favored by the Klan, even in his early political career in MO. In fact, it was KKK opposition that cost Truman the only election he ever lost, his reelection bid for Judge of Jackson County in 1924. Truman was well known for his opposition to the Klan, so there was certainly no association with that organization to help (or hurt) him -- in fact, had he been a Klan member or close to them, he wouldn't have gotten near the second spot on the 1944 ticket. This charge is simply untrue. Now, you're correct that in 1948 Truman favored the general civil rights plank that the party had adopted in 1944, and that southerners could live with. It was northern liberals led by Mayor Hubert H. Humphrey of Minneapolis (running for the Senate that year) who forced a vote for a stronger civil rights plank and carried the day against the southern delegates, leading to a walk-out of most of the Alabama and Mississippi delegates. Truman's stand was being pragmatic, but once the situation was forced he went along with it, though he barely mentioned the issue in the campaign so as not to risk further southern defections. But HST certainly did not want Barkley on his ticket. The Minority Leader was almost 71, and Truman preferred a younger liberal for a running mate. He tried to get Supreme Court Justice William O. Douglas to leave the Court and run, but Douglas refused, and no other suitable candidate wanted the post. (In retrospect the VP business is ironic but at the time, with certain defeat at the hands of Tom Dewey looming, who would have wanted the Democratic vice-presidential nomination in 1948?) Barkley got the spot because of his rousing keynote address and the enormous affection in which he was held by the delegates, and it was seen more as a thank-you for his services than a nomination anyone thought would actually result in his being elected. Truman (pragmatically!) went along to appease the delegates, who he knew weren't enthusiastic about him.
Oh, here's something cool: George Wallace always claimed that he hadn't walked out of the 1948 Democratic convention after the strong civil rights plank was approved, that he was one of the few Alabamans to stay and vote for Truman. (Actually, Sen. Richard Russell of Georgia was placed in nomination to sop up disgruntled southern votes, and no one ever moved to make Truman's nomination unanimous, as is always customary.) Anyway, most of Wallace's biographers accept that tale. But there is newsreel footage of the southern walkout that I've seen many times, and there, very plainly, is a young George C. Wallace himself, not only walking out with the other delegates but very clearly heard (and seen) calling out jovially, "So long, Harry!" Really interesting to see this face from the future in an obscure pre-fame cameo! Plus it gives the lie to his claim of party fealty in '48.
As far as Jim Byrnes went, he certainly did not lift a finger to help Truman in 1948 -- and he sure as hell didn't help kick Wallace off the 1944 ticket to put Truman on it. Byrnes was himself then the leading alternative to Wallace, whom a lot of people (north and south) wanted off the ticket because of his extreme liberalism and unfocused, even bizarre, views and personal predilections. FDR was amenable to dumping Wallace for the sake of party unity but northerners balked at Byrnes, a talented and brilliant man who had served as a Representative and Senator from SC before being appointed to the Supreme Court by FDR. But Byrnes was a hard-shell conservative of decidedly racist opinions, which even in 1944 disqualified him in the eyes of most Democrats for national office. But Truman went to the convention as a Byrnes supporter --- definitely not the other way around. In fact, when first told that Roosevelt wanted him, Truman's response was, "Tell him to go to hell -- I'm for Jimmy Byrnes." But FDR, speaking by phone from Hawaii to his campaign manger Bob Hannegan (Truman's fellow Missourian), who held the receiver for Truman to hear, insisted that Truman take the nomination, and HST relented. Byrnes always held it against Truman that he, not Byrnes, got the VP nomination and, of course, eventually the presidency when Roosevelt died April 12, 1945. Truman threw him a bone by naming him Secretary of State soon after becoming President, but the two eventually fell out over policy and Byrnes resigned in 1946. He did nothing for Truman in 1948 and clearly took satisfaction in his impending defeat. Byrnes's own state of South Carolina was one of four southern states (along with Alabama, Mississippi and Louisiana) where Thurmond was named by the state Democratic committee as the official Democratic nominee, which in those one-party days virtually ensured Thurmond's victory in those states. (Truman had to get a separate ballot spot, and did not appear at all on the ballot in Alabama -- neither did HHH in 1968, when George Wallace was the "official" Democratic nominee on the Alabama ballot.) Truman won the rest of the South because of one-party voting, complementing his strong nationwide surge that brought him victory, and Thurmond's collapse outside his four strongholds...again very similar to what happened in 1968, although the beneficiary then of George Wallace's collapse was the Republican, Nixon. James F. Byrnes was handed the governorship of SC as a consolation prize in 1950 -- everyone stood aside for him -- and he later ended up supporting national Republican candidates, like Nixon in 1960. He died an embittered man, despite all the offices he had held, in 1967. Truman himself said years later that had Byrnes been from Missouri or Kentucky or Indiana he would have become President, but the legacy of his segregationist views and overall southern conservatism, which Byrnes never shook off, doomed his ambitions for national office.
Yes, of course I remember Lewis Hershey. He blustered and spluttered but no one was ever in danger of having their deferments changed because of anything he or anyone else said. Like I said, student paranoia. Oddly, prior to Vietnam, Hershey had long been quite popular and respected as director of the draft, and very concerned with its inequities, in that it disproportionately discriminated against poorer young men and minorities. His bad rep stems mainly from attacks from deferred liberal students, even though had they been true liberals they would have agreed with his points about the draft's unfairness. Their protests had as much if not more to do with their own self-interests as anything to do with the draft or Vietnam. Hershey responded ham-handedly and came across as a reactionary fool but this was an unfair caricature. He had his issues but he wasn't the one-dimensional right-winger he's still often made out to be.
But we largely agree on NY politics, except I blanch at your description of Paul O'Dwyer as "sainted". I don't even consider Mother Teresa "sainted", so I would hardly apply that to a politician. I give O'Dwyer marks for political consistency and honesty, but I have no use for ideologues who see only what they want to see. He would have been a lousy Senator, in my opinion, because he was too confrontational and unrepresentative of those with differing views to be successful. I really don't know who I would have voted for in 1968 after he won the Dem primary over Eugene Nickerson and Joe Resnick (remember him?)...or for that matter, who I would have voted for in the primary (though Nickerson was the stepfather of two friends of mine, so I might well have voted for him for that reason). I had no major problem with Javits (who I met a couple of times in my teens because his son went to my high school), but like most liberal Republicans (remember them?) he did indeed too often sell out to his party hierarchy to maintain his standing. As for Ramsey Clark, the man is a fool, and though I did actually vote for him against Javits in 1974, that too was more a protest than any expression of support. Talk about self-centered ideologues. An utter disaster. Just because someone's a liberal Democrat doesn't make them smart or qualified for an office. Best thing that happened was Bella Abzug's loss to Pat Moynihan in the '76 primary. What a terrible Senator she would have made -- just another loud, reflexive, unthinking liberal -- especially against one of the leading intellectual lights, and most unjustly vilified public officials, of our age, though I disliked a few things he did in his career, especially under Nixon.
Interesting thing about Javits, though: even though most Republicans were well to his right, and he was personally quite arrogant, they all respected him because he was so smart, even brilliant -- even Gerald Ford regarded him as one of his top advisors; he was with Ford at the WH on election night 1976, and one of two people Ford asked for advice that evening. After Al D'Amato ran that disgusting campaign against Javits in 1980 and won, a number of conservative Republican Senate veterans took him aside privately and told him off in no uncertain terms -- that they regarded his assault on Javits as unseemly and insulting to one of their most esteemed colleagues, and that he'd better shut up, learn the ropes and do his job if he ever expected to get anywhere in the Senate. D'Amato was shocked and chastened -- probably for the only time in his life -- and kept low for a long time to earn the Senate's respect. Eventually, of course, he resumed his loud-mouthed ways, but with less of a personal edge. I can't believe we kept this guy in office for three terms, though at least when he finally lost it was to by far the best Democrat who had ever opposed him, Chuck Schumer.
You are correct, McCarthy did win more delegates in NH than LBJ due to the primary's structure. But the fact remains he still lost the primary itself, and that this loss was portrayed as a victory -- not because of the delegates, but because he did "better" than expected. Still more media silliness.
Maybe we should carry this on off this board -- why not use the Private Message boards here? Please use that means if you'd like to -- but post a quick note here so I remember to check my PMs!
Just one point-if all Anderson's votes had gone to Carter,Reagan would still have won.I think McCarthy should have run in 1970-a Humphrey-McCarthy primary battle would have been worth watching!
Just one point-if all Anderson's votes had gone to Carter,Reagan would still have won.
Yes, of course. Reagan took 51% of the vote anyway. But the electoral college would have been much closer. Reagan won most of the southern states by tiny margins, where Anderson's vote made the difference between victory and defeat for Carter. This was also true in most states in the Northeast. Of course not all of Anderson's voters would have voted for Carter; some would have voted for Reagan, a few for other third parties, and others not have voted at all. But the vast majority would have reluctantly voted for Carter, as polls at the time indicated. Also, without Anderson in the race the dynamics of the election would have been different, which would almost certainly have affected the outcome in ways we can never assess.
Gene McCarthy cost Carter four states in 1976: Maine, Oklahoma, Iowa and Oregon. (And there were many other states Carter lost by very small margins: New Jersey, Virginia, North Dakota, South Dakota, New Mexico, Nevada, and others where it was close, such as California.)
In 1980, Anderson clearly cost Carter at least 12 states: Maine, Vermont, Massachusetts, New York, Delaware, Kentucky, Tennessee, North Carolina, South Carolina, Alabama, Mississippi and Arkansas. Pennsylvania and Louisiana were close enough to have flipped as well in a different race, or if Carter hadn't imploded in the final week of the campaign. Had that collapse not happened due to Carter's poor performance in the debate, Reagan's close victories in those states almost certainly wouldn't have happened even with Anderson, again per the pre-debate polling. Reagan would have won anyway, but his narrow popular victory would have been reflected in a closer electoral vote win, along the lines of 326-212, or maybe a bit larger, but not the 489-49 e.v. he did get.
Self-proclaimed liberals are basically idiots. They find Carter imperfect so fall all over themselves for a man who for most of his career was a Goldwater conservative and was in 1980 little more than a self-absorbed spoiler, and end up with a genuine Goldwater conservative. Twenty years later they smugly found Gore lacking in some way and voted for another self-absorbed egoist who cost Gore not merely a couple of states but the election...and look where the country wound up.
Yes, an HHH vs. Clean Gene Senate primary in MN in 1970 would have been an epic something. But I think Humphrey would have won, and the general too. In later years McCarthy changed his mind and ran for office a few times in MN (and also in New Hampshire, once), but never got anywhere of course.
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Last Democrat I'd have voted for would have been Truman. Would have considered a protest vote for Schmitz in 1972 and would have voted for Buchanan in 2000 and Nader in 2004;otherwise Republican. Would also replace the Electoral College with direct popular vote-100,000 supporters to run- and a runoff if nobody got over 50% on first ballot.
That's fair, because the last Republican I would have voted for would have been Theodore Roosevelt in 1904. Willkie, Dewey and Eisenhower would have been acceptable to me but I wouldn't have voted for them over FDR, HST or Stevenson.
I met John Schmitz when he spoke at my university in 1972. He was interesting in an offbeat way but there's no way in the proverbial million years I would ever vote for a John Bircher. Did Buchanan run in 2000? I don't even remember that. I like Pat personally but not his politics or his prejudices. But third party votes for Schmitz, Buchanan and Nader are pretty all over the map ideologically. You wouldn't have voted for Ross Perot?
I will never waste my vote on an independent because protest votes are to me pointless. Of course, there have been a couple of Democrats who I disliked and didn't want to see elected but voted for because they didn't stand a chance, so in a sense they morphed into protest votes: McGovern and Mondale. I couldn't stand McGovern and thought he'd have been a disastrous president (not that Nixon was much better). Mondale himself was okay but his running mate Geraldine Ferraro, whom I knew quite well, was in my personal experience vindictive, self-absorbed and dishonest.
But I wholeheartedly agree with you about the electoral college: it needs to be scrapped. For a country busy telling others that they need a democracy reflecting the will of the people as expressed in a free vote, to maintain such an undemocratic system is outrageous. It's unreflective of the actual popular vote and can allow the loser in the latter to win, as we saw most recently in 2000, albeit thanks to a biased Supreme Court. I don't agree that you should need a threshold to run -- by what means would you even determine that? Let the parties nominate their candidates via primaries or conventions as they do now, then have the person with the highest popular vote win. I would only have a runoff if no one topped 40% (or maybe 45%) since we need some finality as quickly as possible and we don't require runoffs in general elections anywhere except in Georgia.
A Constitutional amendment providing for such a scenario has been introduced a number of times but never made it out of Congress. Unfortunately it won't happen anytime soon because the small states block any change since the present system gives an individual's vote more theoretical weight in, say, Utah than in New York. Ex-Senator Alan Simpson says without the EC no one would have an inducement to campaign in his state of Wyoming. Someone should ask him when was the last time any presidential candidate campaigned seriously in Wyoming. No Democrat goes there because he knows no matter what he does he can't win it, while Republicans ignore it because they know they can't lose it. Contrary to Simpson's bizarre assertion, eliminating the EC would encourage candidates to campaign everywhere. It wouldn't matter if they went to a state they knew they'd lose because all that would matter is getting as many popular votes as possible. But a lot of people cling to idiotic preconceptions in spite of the facts staring them in the face.
Threshold-100,000 signatures on nominating petition. Runoff between top two if no one gets over 50%,as in France.No-I wouldn't have voted for Perot. Schmitz-protest against Nixon's shortcomings. Buchanan and Nader-preferred them to the alternatives.Pity there was no debate between Buvchanan,Nader and Harry Browne (Libertarian) in 2000!
The last Democrat I'd have voted for was Truman.To me,Bobby Kennedy was a vindictive,ungrateful little *beep* not for the shootings-JFK reelected in 1964 by less than LBJ,Bobby loses to Nixon in 1968 but wins in 1976,losing to Reagan in 1980.
You lay out an interesting though flawed scenario. It's far from certain that Bobby Kennedy would have run for President anytime soon if his brother had never been killed. I can almost guarantee he would not have run in 1968, as after eight years of a Kennedy administration it's highly unlikely people would be in the mood for his brother as successor, especially as the sitting Attorney General (he would never have run for the Senate in 1964 if his brother were alive). The "Kennedy mystique" would not have existed but for JFK's assassination. But he might have run in 1976, after a presumed eight-year GOP interregnum.
Of course JFK would have beaten Goldwater in 1964 by less than LBJ -- again, the assassination changed all the underlying political factors -- and it's probable that the Republican nominee in 1968 would have prevailed, simply as the product of a normal political swing. But much depends on who ran. If Nixon did run and win in 1968, Watergate would probably have developed more or less as it did. But again, absent the assassination of JFK so much history would have been altered -- not just domestic politics but internationally as well -- that trying to project who might have been elected president from 1968 on is really dabbling in uncertainties. Vietnam, civil rights, all the things that exploded in the 60s would have taken at least a somewhat different course under President Kennedy than they did under Johnson. How different, no one can say; perhaps a lot, perhaps only marginally.
Given that, I very much doubt McGovern, and almost certainly never Carter, would have emerged as candidates for President, simply because the factors that allowed them to run and win the nominations would never have arisen without the JFK murder. Equally, to assume that Reagan would have emerged as the nominee in 1980 presumes no significant changes in the historical time line; he might have been nominated in 1968, 1972 or 1976, and with no guarantee he'd win, or never nominated at all. There was never anything inevitable about Reagan.
Bottom line is the only reasonably sure thing is that, without November 22, 1963, few if any of the men who have served as President since then would have actually wound up as President, and if any did it might not have been at the same time and circumstances as in fact occurred.
On a separate subject, may I ask, marktayloruk, are you in or from the UK? I wondered because of those last two letters of your IMDb name. Thanks.
Thanks. Actually, what first registered with me about your IMDb name and the possibility of your being British wasn't the "uk" at the end, but the similarity of its first seven letters to the Essex town of Marks Tey. Funny what the mind picks up on.
Do you still live in the UK or are you in the US? Not being nosy, but given your strong interest in and opinions about American politics you sound like someone who lives here and has had a direct stake in US elections.
Oh, I see. I've always been interested in British politics (I usually watch Question Time replayed here every week) but don't know quite as much about them as you seem to know about American politics. But my wife is English and says US elections, certainly presidential ones, are always heavily covered in British media, and from my limited experience this is so -- though the surprisingly large amount of inaccurate information I see or hear thrown about on TV, radio and the newspapers always astonishes me. Lots of factual errors and misinterpretations.
Anyway, your knowledge of the basic facts of US political history is interesting. It's not many people who remember, let alone would have voted for, someone like John Schmitz. While you're obviously politically very conservative, even as a protest vote that's pretty far right of center. Your statement that you'd have voted for Schmitz, a John Birch Society member, in 1972, and then swung 180 degrees to vote for the ultra-liberal Ralph Nader in 2000, would certainly place you in a very tiny and select group of American voters!
That's still a remarkable swing from one ideological pole to the other. Buchanan is very far right and Schmitz was even farther, as I said a John Birch Society radical. Both men also had problems about being anti-Semitic and other racial issues. Nader by contrast is very far to the left. None of them is a libertarian, small or capital L, though the Libertarian Party is all over the map ideologically.
Buchanan ran on the Reform Party ticket in 2000 over the opposition of its founder, Ross Perot (whom I gather is one third-party candidate you wouldn't have supported). This caused a split in the party and a lawsuit to keep him off the ballot which Buchanan ultimately won. Among the people who sought the Reform nomination was John Anderson, the ex-Congressman who had run on a third party in 1980. That so-called party was a meaningless mishmash of malcontents.
Given the third party people you haven't mentioned, I gather you would have voted for Republicans Reagan, Bush and Dole in the 80s and 90s and McCain and Romney more recently, as a way of keeping Democrats, including Clinton and Obama, out. Still, none of them, with the exception of Reagan, is as far right as Buchanan or Schmitz, none is a libertarian, and certainly none is as far left as Nader, so your third party choices do rather stand out...Nader in particular, since you're obviously very conservative.
As I said, I regard voting for third parties in the US a waste of one's vote, but given your beliefs I'm curious why you would not have supported Bush in 2000 and 2004.
You're right-I didn't think Dubya would make a good President. I don't come across as that Conservative when I do ideological "quizzes" -in fact,I don't think Obama's done a bad job overall.Schmitz would have been a protest against Nixon's failing to stop bussing and the flow of technology to Russia.
In his memoirs, Vidal doesn't cite this reason at all. He says he fell out with the Kennedys because they blamed him for and were jealous of his getting more votes in his congressional district than JFK did in 1960.
Where's your crew? On the 3rd planet. There IS no 3rd planet! Don't you think I know that?
Never thought of Strickland as Knowland or Munson as LBJ;only thing in common was same job.Earle Clements?I wish the film had been more like the book and believe that the whole Advise and Consent series would have made a great TV miniseries.
One correction to the original poster -- Bob Munson was most likely based on Alben Barkley, who was Senate majority leader during FDR's presidency, and not Lyndon Johnson. In a move that paralleled Munson's dramatic resignation as majority leader, Barkley resigned his leadership position on the floor of the Senate in 1944 to protest FDR's veto of a tax bill, then called for an override of the veto, which passed. Barkley (who later served as Truman's vice president) was then re-elected as majority leader.
Munson actually bears a closer resemblance to Alben Barkley (D-KY), Majority Leader 1937-47 in terms of style, role in plot, etc. Drury was writing in 1958-9, but most of his inspiration came from events in the 1940s and earlier 1950s.
Munson could also have been partly based on Scott Lucas, the Illinois Democrat who was Senate Majority Leader from 1949-1951. Lucas was the only unabashed northern liberal to serve as Democratic leader up to Mike Mansfield beginning in 1961; most of the rest were moderates, mainly southerners. Since Munson was a liberal from Michigan, Lucas seems an obvious inspiration, at least from an ideological and regional perspective.