I would agree with you that Obama winning the Nobel 8 months in was WAY premature and I suspect the committee was probably pretty disappointed when he agreed to the surge in Afghanistan not long after that.
But, in his defense, I'd point out that was entirely the fault of the committee for jumping the gun. But as Trump has learned, it's not so easy to go against the national security establishment and pull troops out foreign entanglements without the risk of leaving a worse mess and lose hard earned influence in a region of such geopolitical importance.
As for NK, if it turns out legit, I'm all for him getting awarded. But given the history of NK head fakes, it is WAY premature to be talking about let alone him personally lobbying for it. He's just setting himself up for an epic fail.
My personal guess is that Kim Jong Un is scared shitless of Trump and he'll do all he can to stall for time until he's gone.
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