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John Wick: Chapter 2


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sx1Qm3gavRg

With the great word-of-mouth and audience goodwill from the first film, and a surprisingly solid trailer given the short turnaround time on the sequel, what does everybody think about its box office forecast?

After ten years or so, I've finally changed my signature!

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I was thinking while watching the trailer that the movie may see a slight uptick from the first, given, as you say, audience goodwill.

I'm hoping this movie can make $100m WW.

I see this movie being the Resident Evil/Underworld of the action genre. It's never going to make hundreds of millions, but so long as the budgets are kept tight, they can keep this franchise going for as long as they want.

I see an increase similar to the second Underworld and Resident Evil movies. So, $50-$60m US/$50-$70m INT. $100-$130 WW.

Skipping page long posts for over a year now.

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I see this movie being the Resident Evil/Underworld of the action genre. It's never going to make hundreds of millions, but so long as the budgets are kept tight, they can keep this franchise going for as long as they want.

It definitely seems like Lionsgate wants it to be a franchise, given that there's now a VR game for the character. Even though I'm normally wary about spin-offs, I wouldn't necessarily be opposed to having a couple of spin-offs based around the Continental hotel. They're definitely some stories they can tell with that.

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OW: $18M
FG: $50M

The trailer looks entertaining, and the competition that weekend from Fifty Shades and LEGO Batman should be a non-issue because those are each targeting very different demographics than this movie. The only question is: did people really ask for a sequel? It looks like a good time at the movies, and I think the first one did well on home video, but I don't know. This one definitely looks like they have stepped up the budget and scope of the movie compared to the first one.

However, in its second weekend competition will be very difficult as it is facing off against The Great Wall, Fist Fight and A Cure For Wellness, all of which have some appeal to the young male demographic. Still, it should do a bit better than the first movie.

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I don't think The Great Wall will be much of a challenge to it. I'm not sure what the budget/expectations are for that film, but it doesn't look like something that would do very much business Stateside.

I'm a bit more optimistic than you are, I think it has a chance of opening closer to $30mil OW simply because of the first film's goodwill and home video/digital success. It was one of those straightforward, action movie throwbacks that connected with people hungry for them - and the quality was actually up to par unlike the gimmicky Expendables movies.

I think $80mil domestic gross wouldn't be out of the question, but it does depend on whether or not people show up to the theaters or simply wait for it on video. It also depends whether the quality is still there - the trailer looks good but if it ends up being a repeat of the first movie with all the same tricks, it might be a been-there/done-that ordeal a la Taken 2 where it opens big but then the word of mouth kind of drags its potential down.

After ten years or so, I've finally changed my signature!

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I don't think The Great Wall will be too big here in the States, but it's going to make so much in China that it probably doesn't even really matter. It will probably finish with around $65-75 million domestically. Not sure what the budget is, but judging by the effects and action scenes in the trailer, it's probably massive.

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The only question is: did people really ask for a sequel?

I think so the movie have a lot of world building exposition made, a bit complex and barely used in the first movie that people could be interested in.

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I thought John Wick 1 would do about the same as Deadpool (in the sense that JW would do a little bit better and Deadpool 8 time less....).

So I would not do comic book movie prediction anymore.

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i'm gonna get cocky and bet for a 30m OW

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