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Rogue One might not surpass Dark Knight in North America.

posted 8 years ago by Hold_the_door
7 replies | jump to latest

Rogue One is expected to make $5.3 million this weekend, meaning a total of $520 million after 45 days. At the same weekend in its release, The Dark Knight grossed $8.6 million, which is 1.6226415094 times bigger than what Rogue One is expected to gross. It’s overall total was at $502 million.
The Dark Knight added another $31 million during the rest of its run.
If Rogue One makes 1.6226415094 times less that amount of money, then it will add another $19 million. That will mean a total of $539 million.
While that's bigger than the $533 million total of The Dark Knight (actually $534 million with its re-release), it's possible that Rogue One will add a smaller amount of money due to competition, which is much bigger than it was back in 2009.

[–] L0GAN5 8 years ago

At the moment it seems to be doing half the business of The Foce Awakens, and if that continues until the end of its run it should end up with about $540 million. That's not to say it won't drop off faster but even if it does it still has a bit of breathing space. On another note The Dark Knight only made $531 million on its original release: it had an IMAX reissue in January 2009 which Box Office Mojo hasn't documented for whatever reason.

[–] Chrispy_G 8 years ago

Because Mojo counts something as a re-release if it leaves theaters and then comes back. The Dark Knight was still in a handful of theaters when WB bumped it back onto IMAX screens. So under their parameters it wasn't a re-release.

They count the 2012 release as a re-issue.

Same thing happened with Transformers when it was put into(back into?) IMAX theaters in September of 2007. That wasn't counted as a re-release or re-issue.

"Winners focus on winning. Losers focus on winners."

[–] L0GAN5 8 years ago

The Dark Knight technically wasn't in theaters when it was re-released. It closed in normal theaters on January 22 and then it played an exclusive six week IMAX engagement from January 23, so this wasn't like a second run that is folded into the general release.

[–] ThisGuy4000 8 years ago

It'll beat it eventually.

[–] Evangelion217 8 years ago

It will surpass "The Dark Knight" in two or three weeks.

Last Films seen:
Split(2017)- 8/10
Manchester by the Sea(2016)- 9/10

[–] benn-laroque 8 years ago

Unless it starts to fall more sharply, it should end up around 535- 540m. Just above TDK.

[–] benn-laroque 8 years ago

Actually now I'm not so sure it will pass TDK. It has started to fall more sharply. At this point (59 days in) it's 10m ahead of TDK. Right now rogue one seems to be following Dark Knights 11th week.

At this point TDK would go on to gross 10m more. But subtracting the reissue/re release it made another 7m. Following that trajectory, Rogue would end up at 534m. But seeing as how Rogue One is dropping faster, I think it will end it's run around 533m. More than TDK in its initial release, but short overall.