And no, I'm not a Trump supporter, I'm a Never-Trumper, actually, I base my prediction on a formula I came up with myself prior to the 2016 election. I'd much rather my formula be wrong and Biden cleans his clock. Out of curiosity, does anyone else have some electoral vote predictions on who's gonna win and by how much?
shareThings are going as expected, my formula factored in that Trump would be under represented in the polls across the board and win every toss up and battle ground state, just like in 2016, and so far he's virtually doing it, the one exception being Arizona I think, so he's probably going to get over 300 electoral votes, slightly lower a number than I predicted, but still well more than enough to trounce Biden, unfortunately.
shareHe took in a bunch more black male support than what the other party expected. That is going to make democrats rethink things in the next election.
shareI disagree, I just think blacks didn't come out and vote again. They haven't been a very reliable group for the democrats these past two elections, it's a shame.
shareThis might be why rump likes to claim he's done so much for the Black community. He figures they don't get out and be active politically so he can say they support him when they really don't. Just another lie and manipulation they count on to creep their way into another ill-gotten gain.
shareThat ain't happening. Biden's clock doesn't need cleaning, but the White House will need to be cleaned and fumigated.
shareNot American and I only have a basic understanding of the electoral process over there but looking at the states which remain undecided, it would seem that he is going to win as he has the leads in most of them.
On a state by state basis, I see more states in favour of Trump than against him too.
https://www.google.com/search?q=usa+elections&rlz=1C1CHRG_enAU601AU601&oq=usa+elections&aqs=chrome..69i57.1835j0j1&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8
This hasn't aged well.
share