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Japan's declining population - a cause for concern in anime?


https://www.animenewsnetwork.com/answerman/2016-10-17/.107730

"As of its most recent census last year, the population had dropped 0.7% -- a very fast decline. Over a third of the country's population is over 60, and the working age population is now 9.7 million fewer people than it was in the 90s. There's been a lot of socioeconomic study and discussion over why so few people are having children. There are a number of favorite targets: a culture that makes women choose between having a family or a career. A lack of child care. A sex trade and media industry that makes it easier to live with otaku delights than to get a date. A generation of men that seem to have a diminished sex drive. It may be some of these things, it may be all of these things."

"In macroeconomic terms, this is a disaster. Fewer people in the work force means a huge drop in the country's productivity. Fewer consumers mean fewer people buying things. A shrinking economy means recession, a diminished place in the world, and possibly economic hardship. Japan is the world's third largest economy, and it really has nowhere to go but down. That economy has been largely stagnant for the last few decades (after its fall from world dominance in the 90s), and over time Japanese politics has become increasingly preoccupied with restoring the country to some sort of glory. Unfortunately that image of glory is often the sort of nationalism that bleeds into racism and pre-WWII imperialist nostalgia, so the easy way of temporarily fixing things -- letting in a ton of immigrants -- is probably a non-starter."


"Anyway, Japan's seemingly-inevitable tumble off the economic cliff in the next few decades is a constant concern for every Japanese business, especially one such as anime, which still depends heavily on the domestic market to make its money, and on domestic talent to get produced. The anime industry is trying to head this disaster off at the pass. t's generally thought that overseas sales are now as important to a show's bottom line as domestic fans -- perhaps moreso.

Animation studios have also been investing heavily in new studios in other parts of Asia, training workers in an ever-increasing number of animation tasks. New techniques like cel-shaded CG are also aimed at reducing the number of people needed to produce a show. This is not just a cost-cutting measure, it's a survival measure. The studios are preparing for a future in which there are far fewer Japanese people to both make anime and buy anime."


I hope Japan has a future that keeps giving anime, that's all.

07/08/06... 786... the sentinel of Allah has arrived.

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Eh, they'll keep making anime and I'm not really worried about their survival. Humans are hard-wired to endure, so the changes they need to make as a culture to raise those birth rates will be made one way or the other. Just you wait, the instant they drop that "marriage or job" nonsense, birth rates will soar through the roof again.



"All you have to decide is what to do with the time that is given to you." -Gandalf

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In all honesty; I do not think it will have an any cause or effect to anime.
I'm sure we will actually see more in anime yet to come because these fans of anime in Japan will grow up wanting to do animation or some aspect of production for anime or anime theme games.

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I think we can see some examples of low quality animation (like Dragon Ball Super episodes made mainly by Toei Phils -Philippines-), not because the other Asian countries have bad artists, but because the industry is focused on producing and fill their pockets. It may, in some way, the fact that those other countries doesn't have decades of experience in the field may affect as well. But the main thing I think is what most companies does: They make subsidiaries in countries where they can pay less for more results.

Manga and anime is part of Japan's culture and it will not go away, much less when both are extremely popular overseas.

Now, regarding the low birth rate and the low % of working-age people, that has a LOT to do with Japan's aversion to foreigners. They do like tourists, but they don't like gajin people who stays. Maybe the younger generations are not that closed-minded, and that attitude has a lot to do with Japan's own history too.

In the country I'm living,, the birth rates are also being lower each year, life expectanty has increased and we have a lot of eldery people struggling to survive with very low retirement pensions. It's an issue that's happening now and we must find a solution before we all end old and in poverty, we are working (the people) to change things here. And the Goverment opens its doors to immigrants, because they know the birth rate is not gonna increase. The sad thing is all the immigrants are from very pooor and/or conflicted countries, and they came here to live in poverty and discrimination. And this is a third world country we are talking about! But well, no one cares about this country anyways.


tl;dr I don't think anime will decline in amount, but maybe in quality.

Please excuse my terrible redaction, english is not my native language

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Anime in the future may be more tailored to foreign countries, which means less content westerners and other cultures don't care for (moe, controversial sex stuff, japanese politics, etc.)

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